TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x297a…92e0backed No9c2,509$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdf…c0dbbacked No58c1,728$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes43c1,110$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.717839.9%71 W · 107 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed Yes53c794.19$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6811545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6752…fafbbacked Yes47c721.44$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.994143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes50c699.66$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes51c682.78$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.765829.3%17 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes53c615.04$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8619445.9%89 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes58c557.62$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.627360.3%44 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes47c554.97$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.138247.6%39 W · 43 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5a…f7a4backed No42c443$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.416118%11 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Yes51c414.88$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…4bd3backed No53c414$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8a…5af6backed No55c411.58$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.21225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…d5f9backed Yes51c399.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes50c399.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20217931.3%56 W · 123 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758a…f23cbacked No53c364.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.311250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x770e…ffe6backed No51c350.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc282…d218backed Yes50c332.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.141625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No41c315.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.749023.5%115 W · 375 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No50c303.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5518338.3%70 W · 113 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes45c300$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1663461.8%21 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+62.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Yes50c280.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1419955.6%55 W · 44 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Yes57c277.23$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.73560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed No52c257.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b3…1426backed Yes45c251.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4113360.9%81 W · 52 L+18.4wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x351a…75eabacked No40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes61c247.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.542450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ba…68fabacked No55c246$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd203…53a2backed No49c245.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No24c241.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3512932.6%42 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes46c235.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5119428.9%56 W · 138 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed No43c230.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…6112backed No44c228.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed No46c218.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No48c207.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.832955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020736.2%75 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No41c181.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0235819%68 W · 290 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc52a…41abbacked No48c175.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x261a…2989backed No57c170.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…ac58backed No51c163.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.515523.2%36 W · 119 L+12.1wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb288…abbbbacked No42c142.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d8…ff9bbacked No40c141.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No52c116.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.662920.7%6 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-69.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed No53c113.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c63…555ebacked No48c104.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3726…8568backed No48c104.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed No49c102.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.583151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852a…3188backed Yes43c98.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.154372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb37f…99cfbacked Yes63c98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af4…89b4backed Yes55c94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.35246.2%24 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8793…9dfabacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed No55c91.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8771…8e1cbacked No57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed Yes52c86.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.563732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed No59c85.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…1630backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes57c77.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.738132.1%26 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbf…f6b2backed No55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes57c68.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3486542.3%366 W · 499 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes62c64.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d7…e193backed No53c60.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes33c57.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.332437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1971…a6e1backed Yes56c56.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.519534.4%67 W · 128 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f1…0593backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed No51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd14f…d46dbacked No51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eff…c8ddbacked Yes75c47.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe515…1398backed Yes66c41.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No45c41.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6510153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd622…c02dbacked No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…e1f3backed No48c38.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0543…c839backed No53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfa…ce5dbacked No54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee7f…93c1backed Yes50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c7…9c32backed No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99f…4400backed No45c33.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x491a…27ccbacked No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0d…d3a5backed No51c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes49c27.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes54c27.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62f7…129abacked No47c25.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No40c25.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…e80cbacked No63c25.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd757…94aabacked No63c24.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.693647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b3…4798backed Yes61c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fc…14f5backed Yes63c23.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes52c22.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.647939.2%31 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ff…f89bbacked Yes58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ad…dbf7backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.