TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7e6…2b17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$103.8
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$140.94
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+99%+$24.87
Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$28.75
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+108.5%+$39.05
Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.03
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$85.47
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$318.82
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+289.6%+$222.99
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+290.4%+$149.08
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+46%+$45.99
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$96
Will Trump say Ayatollah or Khamenei during his Iran address on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.93
Will Trump say Surrender during his Iran address on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$160.96
Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+160%+$120
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.49
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$55.99
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.26
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.49
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+119%+$244.5
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.08
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+160.6%+$92.85
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.99
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$11.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$81.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$786.59
Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.32
Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.29
Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.1
Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.83
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+100.7%+$351.12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+81.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$10.47
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+389.1%+$397.69
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$61.2
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$13.69
Will Trump say "Steel" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$80
Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$359.62
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+52%+$91.32
Will Powell say "Future" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Powell say "Money" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$7.8
Will Powell say "Debt" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
Will Powell say "America" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$34.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$16.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.