Earnings · resolved market
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc3923fc8d18d6f223de38e7d25e5337c93cd6f968acc7ca9dbf514c0294ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 13c | 19,654$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.48 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 12c | 5,219$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 20c | 4,298$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.36 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,297$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 13c | 2,637$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 18c | 1,691$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed No | 11c | 1,376$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 12c | 1,230$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af5…4199backed Yes | 72c | 1,164$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 12c | 999.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3007backed No | 20c | 997.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…7662backed No | 13c | 954.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 12c | 771.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 11c | 699.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 670.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 20c | 657.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 642.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 11c | 580.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 14c | 569.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…a5fbbacked No | 15c | 524.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 4c | 500.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 10c | 499.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d1f1backed No | 5c | 453.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 14c | 422.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…a52abacked No | 12c | 399.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed No | 12c | 399.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed No | 14c | 367.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 8c | 365.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed No | 12c | 360.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 11c | 349.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 19c | 320$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed No | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…721cbacked No | 12c | 299.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…ac7dbacked No | 13c | 297.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 11c | 281.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 13c | 263.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…cb66backed No | 13c | 219.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed No | 12c | 216.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 200.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 10c | 194.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 16c | 189.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…e451backed Yes | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 15c | 172.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…b3cbbacked Yes | 78c | 162.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…ad58backed No | 13c | 156.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…4d2ebacked No | 11c | 136.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 12c | 126.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 105.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 20c | 87.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…3bc0backed No | 21c | 72.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 17c | 60.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…f0f5backed Yes | 68c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…a3d2backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.