Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27fa002bf1e91268fa0b4232b3d35892f15f7b6c26af17749a10ec3a8c218b53

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,918,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,416,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,918,533 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8795…7544backed Yes	48c	292,723$139,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,365.81	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65f…9c46backed Yes	53c	199,350$104,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,402.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7177…ddefbacked Yes	62c	162,926$100,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,631.93	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked No	52c	161,199$83,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,885.46	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4976…d25cbacked Yes	47c	156,429$73,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,674.99	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aac…1b36backed Yes	71c	116,775$82,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,788.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	60c	107,143$63,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,173.28	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	55c	105,440$57,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,871.56	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes	67c	102,253$68,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,063.88	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	48c	97,857$46,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,093.82	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked No	57c	97,130$54,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,920	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf839…bbf0backed Yes	47c	85,918$40,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,525.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	50c	75,194$37,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,953.81	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	72c	67,821$49,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,730.33	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked No	34c	67,641$23,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,139.99	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…a769backed Yes	53c	43,838$23,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,629.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b5…205cbacked No	36c	42,332$15,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,287.25	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	68c	42,279$28,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,335.19	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d7…6547backed Yes	0c	34,833$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,778.27	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+7,883.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Yes	60c	34,538$20,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,766.16	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	34cpaid	+82.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	53c	32,750$17,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,456.08	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x389f…1a1ebacked No	0c	31,947$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce66…cc64backed Yes	61c	30,624$18,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,812.83	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840f…48e4backed Yes	50c	30,609$15,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,275.41	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…6638backed Yes	18c	29,407$5,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,035.54	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce71…83bcbacked Yes	66c	29,294$19,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,868.22	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d09…e998backed No	47c	29,114$13,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,697.03	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc060…8956backed No	55c	28,830$15,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,744.92	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed Yes	43c	27,534$11,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,591.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8bf…a760backed Yes	47c	27,233$12,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,552.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+114.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed Yes	76c	25,843$19,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,200.56	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	57c	25,345$14,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,800.05	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf330…f779backed Yes	65c	25,031$16,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,646.7	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes	70c	23,304$16,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,884.9	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	56c	23,005$12,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,059.83	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	21,400$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,221.4	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21fe…7b71backed Yes	78c	20,878$16,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,555.68	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	61c	20,052$12,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,767.55	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,980	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3,440.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd748…2125backed Yes	56c	20,000$11,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,729.06	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	55c	19,956$10,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,962.24	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes	75c	19,521$14,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,952.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Yes	56c	18,261$10,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,972.36	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe21a…6d8bbacked Yes	71c	17,977$12,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,156.95	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	17,153$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,102.8	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff30…4a37backed Yes	75c	17,126$12,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,253.72	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d46…6233backed Yes	45c	17,116$7,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,467.89	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.49per pick	31cpaid	+123.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes	52c	16,495$8,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,901.62	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	15,515$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,471.96	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…b741backed Yes	0c	15,302$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,256.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	0cpaid	+11,011.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes	55c	15,111$8,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,852.77	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes	73c	15,000$10,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,010	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0074…a9e8backed No	54c	14,655$7,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,935.09	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes	42c	14,439$6,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,336.79	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes	0c	14,118$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,088.76	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+2,755.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b9…4d3fbacked No	0c	14,069$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes	49c	13,574$6,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,947.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa11…f753backed Yes	8c	13,557$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,470.19	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	75c	12,419$9,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,127.69	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	55c	11,663$6,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,241.03	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked No	36c	11,647$4,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,161.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d1…4c60backed Yes	49c	11,564$5,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,892.5	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	54c	10,616$5,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,852.53	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	1c	10,238$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,170.63	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5940backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes	67c	9,756$6,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,262.88	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x088f…c9e7backed No	48c	9,592$4,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,638.97	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd8…ccf8backed Yes	45c	9,572$4,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,226.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4b…d761backed No	1c	9,454$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes	51c	9,357$4,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,583.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Yes	66c	9,204$6,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,091.66	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb00a…e94dbacked No	1c	9,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes	60c	9,192$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,672.41	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed Yes	72c	9,109$6,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,544.41	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45e…605fbacked No	28c	8,999$2,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,478.34	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	47c	8,907$4,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,748.84	79	32.9%26 W · 53 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6870…ebc4backed Yes	0c	8,796$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,761.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	0cpaid	+12,400%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…b243backed Yes	65c	8,783$5,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,069.86	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d1…b82dbacked Yes	57c	8,766$4,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,788.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…19aebacked Yes	64c	8,749$5,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,159.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a64…c00abacked Yes	48c	8,646$4,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,520.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	62c	8,501$5,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,264.22	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No	42c	8,498$3,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,541.09	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2f…a47ebacked No	55c	8,330$4,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,548.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+2,122.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7be7backed No	15c	8,142$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.91	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-86.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e86…acc0backed Yes	48c	8,072$3,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,189.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	61c	8,045$4,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,123.21	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175b…d7e3backed No	55c	7,961$4,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,346.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80a…95ebbacked No	55c	7,949$4,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,340.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf936…de60backed Yes	45c	7,561$3,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,128.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Yes	54c	7,502$4,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,449.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa251…f703backed Yes	55c	7,491$4,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,398.3	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfc…5fd4backed Yes	45c	7,239$3,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,995.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3f…29a5backed Yes	45c	7,107$3,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,880.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd7…ea5bbacked No	55c	7,105$3,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,921.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a0…bed9backed Yes	53c	6,962$3,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,286.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5189…7320backed Yes	73c	6,895$4,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,895.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes	60c	6,818$4,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.14	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	31c	6,768$2,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,696.17	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes	44c	6,748$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,774.78	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event