Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0a4d2952cb62ca55e16a4ad879aae5c988309f71a8f16fc3c65fe0a8df52d4

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,326,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,670,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,326,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6da9…4bf8backed Yes	0c	1,266,805$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…c341backed Yes	0c	1,266,805$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ac…93b7backed Yes	0c	950,104$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb828…d2efbacked Yes	0c	897,321$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	9c	134,482$12,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,092.9	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf839…bbf0backed Yes	7c	53,041$3,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,955	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf04d…53c3backed Yes	0c	52,784$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd602…0105backed Yes	11c	51,966$5,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,586.02	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	12c	41,154$4,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,947.04	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e7…fba5backed No	60c	39,306$23,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,722.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf918…bcd3backed Yes	40c	39,306$15,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,722.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…19aebacked Yes	5c	38,435$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.02	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…f496backed Yes	11c	37,262$3,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,998.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69cd…e8b3backed Yes	41c	33,122$13,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,580.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f01…f12abacked No	59c	33,122$19,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,580.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	33,002$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.87	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…f175backed Yes	8c	32,812$2,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12b…0ed6backed No	60c	30,943$18,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,377.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7282…18c8backed Yes	40c	30,943$12,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,377.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb5…6ba7backed No	59c	30,835$18,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,642.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9995…1b5cbacked Yes	41c	30,835$12,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,642.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…c435backed Yes	41c	30,812$12,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,632.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4e…44a1backed No	59c	30,812$18,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,632.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbec…8178backed No	64c	30,436$19,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,956.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a53…d226backed Yes	36c	30,436$10,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,956.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78a…adb0backed Yes	41c	29,943$12,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,276.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8326…1cbdbacked No	59c	29,943$17,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,276.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	10c	28,588$2,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,926.08	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f0…d6a5backed Yes	2c	27,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes	6c	26,902$1,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,682.44	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+1,305.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes	13c	22,203$2,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,915.4	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3c…139fbacked Yes	32c	21,759$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes	7c	19,282$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.08	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x630e…2f2fbacked No	75c	18,833$14,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,682.56	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	5c	16,348$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.12	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes	2c	16,048$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Yes	16c	15,522$2,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,484.82	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…79bdbacked Yes	8c	15,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc031…25fcbacked Yes	6c	13,414$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes	7c	12,000$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.84	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+285.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	71c	11,900$8,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,467.2	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	13c	11,054$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,422.91	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	25c	9,552$2,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,385.89	134	13.4%18 W · 116 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked Yes	2c	9,431$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+97.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	9,403$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.24	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa1…0418backed Yes	3c	8,900$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	23c	7,609$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,775.71	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes	0c	7,388$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes	17c	7,040$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.57	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+189.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ac…5f15backed Yes	28c	6,778$1,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,917.39	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes	6c	6,270$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.2	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	12c	6,235$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes	15c	6,076$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.36	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf52…76f9backed Yes	6c	5,868$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.54	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274e…648cbacked Yes	4c	5,764$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.69	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-4.4wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes	15c	5,000$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.5	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d1…4c60backed Yes	10c	4,960$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.74	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c3…d2d7backed Yes	16c	4,817$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes	6c	4,732$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.24	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes	6c	4,633$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.38	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9f…8e3abacked Yes	7c	4,500$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca6…98c9backed Yes	13c	4,400$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3d…1fc6backed Yes	9c	4,165$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.8	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	27cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes	14c	4,061$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1de…5834backed Yes	7c	4,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+129.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	3,456$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb1…1129backed Yes	0c	3,303$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	10	0%0 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	14c	3,192$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.48	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…886bbacked Yes	5c	3,134$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	28c	3,044$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.55	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01da…56b3backed Yes	3c	3,034$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes	22c	3,002$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.31	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+104%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98f…d487backed Yes	4c	2,783$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	8c	2,763$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.62	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No	80c	2,682$2,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.63	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No	62c	2,589$1,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.92	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes	6c	2,333$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.17	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a7…1253backed No	79c	2,281$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.59	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	8c	2,116$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.2	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab3…c667backed Yes	5c	2,045$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	25cpaid	+216.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf589…5351backed Yes	5c	2,020$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	26c	2,006$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.67	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes	3c	2,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+11.0wins	+0.18per pick	31cpaid	+90%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a27…9e85backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	3c	2,000$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	-7.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5caf…5470backed Yes	3c	1,998$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.75	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes	22c	1,865$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	5c	1,822$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.98	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	16c	1,800$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked No	73c	1,700$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes	19c	1,683$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.95	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+252.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes	34c	1,530$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.5	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes	18c	1,511$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.76	120	29.2%35 W · 85 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No	61c	1,483$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.73	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes	29c	1,477$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.33	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	20c	1,455$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.69	175	24.6%43 W · 132 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39ac…4310backed Yes	7c	1,443$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Yes	7c	1,436$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event