Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5a2280846b6aee296f1c9d709e00c305196a91781b9ff2182d930d8a7562cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 16c | 3,655$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 79c | 2,923$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.95 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,890$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.03 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 50c | 2,824$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 18c | 2,508$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +2,714.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 21c | 1,746$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.53 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 2c | 1,449$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +935.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,344$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…09c8backed Yes | 22c | 1,270$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…6b32backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…6eaebacked Yes | 23c | 1,234$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +327.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 24c | 1,160$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.36 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,127$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 8c | 1,100$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 15c | 1,100$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked No | 78c | 1,050$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…d6ecbacked No | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…33f8backed Yes | 13c | 999.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.67 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed No | 78c | 935.15$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…68e2backed Yes | 16c | 919.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +512.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…7676backed Yes | 16c | 900$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +529.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…acb1backed Yes | 18c | 836.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…d86dbacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +11%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 80c | 792.49$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.59 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067b…fb69backed Yes | 25c | 746.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 25c | 740$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 661.24$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed No | 79c | 580$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…c2b2backed Yes | 42c | 578.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 18c | 560.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.18 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 17c | 540.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 79c | 540$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…d604backed No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 20c | 488.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 19c | 479.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes | 22c | 448.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 19c | 426.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…478abacked Yes | 21c | 425.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 21c | 388.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…72eebacked Yes | 27c | 372.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…330abacked Yes | 21c | 356.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 25c | 353$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 27c | 346.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.18 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 74c | 337.42$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 321.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 69c | 314.93$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…4f9dbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 45c | 293.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 17c | 277.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…77fdbacked Yes | 27c | 270.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…4f66backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 80c | 269.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 78c | 265.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…79b8backed Yes | 21c | 262.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed Yes | 27c | 260$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 46c | 250$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 76c | 222$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Yes | 29c | 206.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…c6f2backed Yes | 24c | 204.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…d5a5backed Yes | 25c | 203.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…8307backed Yes | 23c | 193.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…f8fabacked Yes | 26c | 191.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…61d0backed Yes | 26c | 189.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 74c | 186.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 80c | 185.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 23c | 174.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…289ebacked No | 76c | 153$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…cc52backed Yes | 37c | 144.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…2a6fbacked Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd625…7f52backed Yes | 26c | 114.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +282.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…f592backed Yes | 19c | 112.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +433.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539c…c51ebacked Yes | 20c | 108.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…7578backed Yes | 23c | 107.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5c…276dbacked No | 77c | 101.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?this page
- Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.