Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5154a703e3ee3c053e124e2675558e5f073ab5ff885c054e4323811d01584c7

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 15, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,634 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7117…3a3ebacked Yes	3c	3,100$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No	71c	2,105$1,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.37	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…9be3backed Yes	29c	1,725$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	3c	1,600$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.94	90	5.6%5 W · 85 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a0…f233backed Yes	29c	1,356$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.69	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…cad6backed Yes	26c	1,100$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	23c	1,045$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.61	141	21.3%30 W · 111 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	25c	957.12$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.69	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	73c	848.56$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.62	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed No	78c	665.98$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.52	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dbf…784abacked Yes	28c	598.25$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes	27c	583.12$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	26c	523.82$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.46	99	32.3%32 W · 67 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ee…a1debacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	74c	488.01$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.59	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	22c	469.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.8	268	35.1%94 W · 174 L	-38.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes	25c	451.44$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.4	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes	23c	439.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes	24c	417.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1838…5903backed Yes	26c	400$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.64	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	18c	381.25$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.84	394	29.4%116 W · 278 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1797…baa7backed Yes	25c	378.04$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.87	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad9…292bbacked Yes	41c	364.47$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…75cebacked Yes	27c	364.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f4…b66bbacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x247d…7d27backed Yes	29c	339.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1c9…bc00backed Yes	29c	333$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Yes	28c	317.16$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	136	22.8%31 W · 105 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	25c	300.02$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	214	26.2%56 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ca…99b9backed Yes	27c	279.1$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bb3…2682backed Yes	21c	257.38$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.57	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d4…56a2backed Yes	22c	248.21$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.23	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…8d43backed No	74c	231.56$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.21	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3de…e227backed Yes	20c	224$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.85	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeede…8a73backed Yes	28c	214.29$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes	28c	210.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	78c	204.55$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	255	28.2%72 W · 183 L	-17.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-32%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed No	72c	199.99$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	59c	181.91$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.14	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No	75c	180$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.59	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d3…a9b8backed Yes	28c	179.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed Yes	19c	177.02$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	45	11.1%5 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-75%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed No	69c	174.93$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.23	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…f511backed Yes	19c	150$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0064…aabebacked Yes	28c	143.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e8…0a7cbacked Yes	28c	142.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea88…cc4cbacked Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2136…51b8backed Yes	28c	131.3$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.22	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…061fbacked Yes	21c	125$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1492…97dabacked Yes	26c	116.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e53…b3debacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No	74c	109.42$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	54	79.6%43 W · 11 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	68cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x656e…65d2backed Yes	33c	105.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.18per pick	24cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90be…c800backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…0299backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e0…e601backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f6…8761backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…73dfbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7285…c116backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…4266backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1f…b532backed Yes	32c	94.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9de…d12cbacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c7…82cebacked Yes	31c	90$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8659…568fbacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4cc…8b4fbacked Yes	27c	81.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c2…65a0backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a43…2f2abacked Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a19…c1dcbacked Yes	28c	71.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x870a…bd43backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2d…b6e9backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…148dbacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…d9a9backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	263	18.3%48 W · 215 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c5…67acbacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d51…f316backed Yes	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa098…9565backed Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5936…c2d6backed Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x750e…a3bfbacked Yes	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Yes	30c	59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28b…a852backed Yes	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb593…0262backed Yes	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60bb…833abacked Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b14…844dbacked Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes	26c	55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe535…96d3backed No	74c	54.05$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd1…972abacked Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d87…7879backed Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb448…f207backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e1…7361backed No	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a07…05c1backed Yes	22c	49.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	72c	43.08$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.06	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cf…78c4backed No	74c	42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	72cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e6…1d2bbacked Yes	29c	41.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9c…420fbacked Yes	27c	40.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	11cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d34…a987backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?this page
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes won
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?No won
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?No won
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?No won
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event