Movies · resolved market
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6003296f7eda1fab2513a054df1bebd4c28eb449d905efccb81ba2c612772b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b59…5f20backed Yes | 18c | 72,311$13,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,015.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…9370backed Yes | 17c | 54,539$9,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,271.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 1c | 21,339$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,298$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 3c | 8,728$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…a307backed Yes | 0c | 8,607$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 19c | 7,282$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.36 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 6,940$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…0e6abacked Yes | 3c | 6,560$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 4c | 6,296$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.14 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,229$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…bd0ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,149$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ace…9850backed Yes | 1c | 4,924$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…d7a2backed Yes | 13c | 4,464$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…5ac5backed Yes | 16c | 4,075$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 11c | 4,030$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 11c | 3,800$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,726$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,513$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…4547backed Yes | 1c | 3,393$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 2,909$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 2,902$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,722$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 15c | 2,356$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 16c | 1,912$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…eb04backed Yes | 15c | 1,908$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 1,898$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.41 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,720$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Yes | 2c | 1,700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 13c | 1,600$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 4c | 1,494$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,479$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…f481backed Yes | 16c | 1,409$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,320$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…d7e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,317$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,202$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 17c | 1,130$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 17c | 1,100$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 1c | 1,062$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 12c | 1,012$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…3dffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 976$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 19c | 958$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 13c | 839.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 19c | 834.86$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 11c | 672.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…3862backed Yes | 14c | 585.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…97b0backed Yes | 12c | 580$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 9c | 565.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…ea11backed Yes | 10c | 562.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…5c9dbacked Yes | 5c | 556.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 7c | 512.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked No | 78c | 500$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 25c | 449.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…42a5backed Yes | 8c | 449.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…0592backed Yes | 6c | 430.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked Yes | 14c | 425.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 14c | 420$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 14c | 419.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed No | 78c | 411.76$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…b1b8backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…bc2dbacked Yes | 10c | 376.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 13c | 375.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed Yes | 6c | 357$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…67f4backed Yes | 15c | 344.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 25c | 318.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…99cebacked Yes | 6c | 314.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 14c | 310.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…500bbacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…e39abacked Yes | 23c | 246$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…63c8backed Yes | 23c | 239$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…63b9backed Yes | 17c | 233$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…24babacked Yes | 20c | 232.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 13c | 226.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 21c | 225$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 18c | 219.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 216$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…c046backed Yes | 7c | 211.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…8917backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…b48cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…dbc6backed Yes | 8c | 196.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…1b03backed Yes | 23c | 179$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 20c | 176.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…6ea9backed Yes | 7c | 155.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Yes | 21c | 155.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…3c92backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 24c | 128.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…9bd5backed Yes | 13c | 119.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…8654backed No | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 116.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.