Movies · resolved market
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3015ee036921f18ee3e446556335c6c2301e8666279e33ff15d21d851ff1e316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,625,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,625,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 45,969$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…95e2backed Yes | 0c | 31,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…a85dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe310…5028backed Yes | 0c | 31,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…b5d1backed Yes | 0c | 31,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…790ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…3003backed Yes | 0c | 31,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…94abbacked Yes | 0c | 30,193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…82a8backed Yes | 0c | 30,193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…c4e8backed Yes | 0c | 30,193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…ee08backed Yes | 0c | 29,647$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…fdbdbacked Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…5fc1backed Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…471abacked Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…6fcabacked Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…81d2backed Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f6…3190backed Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…85bfbacked Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…d77abacked Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…1b75backed Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…0738backed Yes | 0c | 28,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…2b1bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…056cbacked Yes | 1c | 24,983$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…e957backed Yes | 1c | 24,903$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…f197backed Yes | 1c | 24,591$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…88adbacked Yes | 0c | 24,560$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…1d60backed Yes | 1c | 24,440$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…b722backed Yes | 0c | 24,295$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…2584backed Yes | 1c | 24,077$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 23,912$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…eef2backed Yes | 1c | 23,837$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6412…7253backed Yes | 1c | 23,464$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda06…e0e1backed Yes | 1c | 23,446$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…6e75backed Yes | 1c | 23,360$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…a514backed Yes | 1c | 23,359$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…8387backed Yes | 0c | 22,929$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,235$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e2e3backed Yes | 1c | 21,917$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…2be5backed Yes | 0c | 21,383$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…4a5abacked Yes | 0c | 20,130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…d66dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,905$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…a753backed Yes | 1c | 19,651$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…d551backed Yes | 1c | 19,001$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6614…6547backed Yes | 1c | 18,401$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…a313backed Yes | 1c | 18,346$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…fc4bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,004$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2648…1010backed Yes | 1c | 17,764$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…d407backed Yes | 1c | 17,710$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…c214backed Yes | 1c | 17,689$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…81cfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,346$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…d2e7backed Yes | 0c | 15,846$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…61afbacked Yes | 0c | 15,846$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…33b4backed Yes | 0c | 15,846$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…5eb0backed Yes | 0c | 15,846$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…3d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…83f1backed Yes | 0c | 15,801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5e…b452backed Yes | 0c | 15,801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c8…b543backed Yes | 0c | 15,801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Yes | 1c | 14,807$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7755…4d62backed Yes | 1c | 14,670$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…dfaabacked Yes | 1c | 14,110$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…3421backed Yes | 1c | 14,069$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…5f82backed Yes | 1c | 14,011$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…e19fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,001$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…4ef3backed Yes | 1c | 13,999$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…d0d6backed Yes | 1c | 13,977$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…3efbbacked Yes | 1c | 13,969$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…5a42backed Yes | 1c | 13,967$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…f986backed Yes | 1c | 13,967$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…cedebacked Yes | 1c | 13,963$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…fd40backed Yes | 1c | 13,944$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…8d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,920$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…9fc5backed Yes | 1c | 13,909$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…8a81backed Yes | 1c | 13,900$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…214dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,896$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…241abacked Yes | 1c | 13,874$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…d4fcbacked Yes | 1c | 13,873$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ea…59bebacked Yes | 1c | 13,846$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8ad6backed Yes | 1c | 13,827$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…584dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,819$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…128dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,799$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…df63backed Yes | 1c | 13,796$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…c14abacked Yes | 1c | 13,783$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…2722backed Yes | 1c | 13,777$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…e20fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,774$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…26f0backed Yes | 1c | 13,753$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…f3a4backed Yes | 1c | 13,749$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…70c8backed Yes | 1c | 13,737$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…deefbacked Yes | 1c | 13,733$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…bcd9backed Yes | 1c | 13,724$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…ab88backed Yes | 1c | 13,721$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ef73backed Yes | 1c | 13,719$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…0032backed Yes | 1c | 13,711$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…a316backed Yes | 1c | 13,711$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…f3bbbacked Yes | 1c | 13,710$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…3017backed Yes | 1c | 13,710$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…cf6abacked Yes | 1c | 13,707$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…a73cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,704$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…2df6backed Yes | 1c | 13,697$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.