Movies · resolved market
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb962714c60c82f7fd72cb0a5222c592c114e1d1c2c2cc65a22459d5de141c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 1c | 16,390$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 11,352$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…42a5backed Yes | 1c | 10,632$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,069$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,366$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 2c | 7,815$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 3c | 6,325$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,264$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 4,858$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…73cbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,759$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9f4abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,554$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 5c | 2,324$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…c25fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,950$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 1c | 1,908$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed Yes | 6c | 1,619$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,569$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…60efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,531$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,525$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,462$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,376$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 1,317$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…3407backed Yes | 4c | 1,248$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…c3ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,205$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,178$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,056$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,022$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 998.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 2c | 942.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 3c | 858.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f0dbacked Yes | 4c | 537$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…96f6backed Yes | 8c | 536.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 4c | 520.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 4c | 479$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…44fabacked Yes | 5c | 428.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 5c | 399.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…cf1bbacked Yes | 4c | 338$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…4bc2backed Yes | 5c | 262$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 11c | 250.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…9354backed Yes | 5c | 229$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.