Movies · resolved market
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa257136f50d15c4151d7fa6464cba6a6dfc5dfa325d9fb6e414f7b642ba84381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,336,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,336,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 23c | 43,228$9,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,875.8 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 1c | 39,579$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +138%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 33c | 31,127$10,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,189.17 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 8c | 30,488$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…f100backed Yes | 31c | 22,500$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 20c | 18,306$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 17c | 17,614$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 7c | 16,555$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.91 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…2b85backed Yes | 5c | 15,639$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…f9f0backed Yes | 7c | 15,008$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Yes | 11c | 11,900$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fa…079dbacked No | 42c | 11,500$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…9550backed No | 69c | 11,400$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…c7f2backed No | 69c | 11,100$7,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…ba8bbacked Yes | 10c | 10,095$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 32c | 9,861$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.2 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 9,850$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 22c | 9,229$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.27 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 4c | 9,181$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 17c | 8,070$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 31c | 7,835$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.66 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 32c | 6,835$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e82…6bacbacked Yes | 33c | 6,665$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 6,315$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 13c | 6,166$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.18 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…3759backed Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 76c | 5,832$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.45 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 9c | 5,599$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.88 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…8d14backed Yes | 58c | 5,500$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 29c | 5,326$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 3c | 5,229$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 5,077$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,842$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,412$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 4,341$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.18 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 14c | 4,283$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.92 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 3,948$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 16c | 3,928$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 3c | 3,916$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…bf84backed Yes | 1c | 3,883$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 3c | 3,686$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…bd83backed Yes | 6c | 3,217$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…1913backed Yes | 9c | 3,032$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…068ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,907$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 15c | 2,893$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…8c10backed Yes | 2c | 2,766$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…493abacked Yes | 15c | 2,642$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked No | 49c | 2,540$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,484$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 41c | 2,437$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 74c | 2,405$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 2,360$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 2,292$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed Yes | 10c | 2,281$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…a2b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,187$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 2,185$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.33 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,127$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked Yes | 29c | 2,100$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…27ccbacked Yes | 29c | 2,089$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,084$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 3c | 2,016$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 29c | 2,005$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.05 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…7772backed Yes | 8c | 2,003$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…5b57backed Yes | 2c | 1,946$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +283.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,934$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Yes | 10c | 1,910$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 3c | 1,865$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…90f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,815$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes | 1c | 1,788$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,750$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…15d2backed Yes | 6c | 1,720$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…457bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,713$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed Yes | 45c | 1,707$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,694$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,572$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…33a6backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,414$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…7154backed Yes | 2c | 1,413$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…d3e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,395$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4807…48b2backed Yes | 44c | 1,377$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,363$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,362$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 32c | 1,343$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 16c | 1,322$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ae83backed Yes | 47c | 1,282$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,282$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…8658backed Yes | 9c | 1,258$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…af7bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,236$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…95e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,218$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,205$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,172$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,150$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…02b6backed Yes | 4c | 1,146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 18c | 1,123$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.