Movies · resolved market
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77eaf36a80197a13ff32e31f05b54e824a6fd21d93f1001abcc18ba8d9a7ed16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,279,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,579,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,279,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 67c | 48,307$32,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,149.55 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…01b2backed No | 2c | 41,071$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…4ae3backed No | 48c | 35,808$17,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,080.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…5ee8backed Yes | 52c | 35,808$18,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,080.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 79c | 35,172$27,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.27 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…b1dcbacked No | 59c | 32,719$19,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,304.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…5873backed Yes | 41c | 32,719$13,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,304.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…1c91backed Yes | 40c | 30,761$12,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,395.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…7e69backed No | 60c | 30,761$18,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,395.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…ebf7backed Yes | 40c | 30,426$12,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,194.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…7388backed No | 60c | 30,426$18,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,194.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0382backed Yes | 61c | 29,661$18,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,567.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…2f5ebacked No | 39c | 29,661$11,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,567.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 75c | 24,798$18,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c75…a9e4backed No | 6c | 22,635$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed No | 1c | 13,828$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 0c | 12,702$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 42c | 12,032$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,033.51 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 64c | 10,287$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.85 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 69c | 10,210$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.28 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 69c | 10,202$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.95 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…2e0cbacked No | 48c | 8,993$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d2…4a57backed Yes | 53c | 8,778$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…1865backed Yes | 53c | 8,715$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 38c | 8,627$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…8b7fbacked No | 47c | 8,500$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ac…cb52backed No | 21c | 8,405$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 38c | 8,234$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.88 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 76c | 8,118$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.71 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 53c | 7,185$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.92 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 56c | 6,899$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.06 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…a762backed No | 72c | 6,300$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 35c | 6,242$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.9 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 50c | 5,753$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked No | 39c | 5,021$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…8d25backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…b35cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,763$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +493.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked No | 1c | 4,660$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 4,532$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 46c | 4,505$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 3c | 4,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 56c | 4,295$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.36 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 3,955$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 55c | 3,862$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 76c | 3,577$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…3fabbacked Yes | 70c | 3,452$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 53c | 3,386$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 3c | 3,383$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…3759backed Yes | 28c | 3,300$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…2b85backed No | 31c | 3,253$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…63f2backed No | 19c | 3,179$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 62c | 3,144$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 41c | 3,022$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Yes | 62c | 3,019$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…8d14backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 68c | 2,990$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…82b2backed No | 4c | 2,836$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…f42abacked No | 14c | 2,798$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked No | 2c | 2,777$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 21c | 2,750$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 47c | 2,722$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 1c | 2,717$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…083fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,700$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +427.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 29c | 2,671$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.51 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed Yes | 78c | 2,659$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 1c | 2,646$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…1dc7backed No | 4c | 2,627$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked No | 9c | 2,571$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 1c | 2,557$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 1c | 2,492$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 40c | 2,437$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.27 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 13c | 2,273$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.74 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 36c | 2,266$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.34 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 32c | 2,243$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.34 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 53c | 2,144$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.94 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 1c | 2,110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 1c | 2,001$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…85d2backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,928$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Yes | 53c | 1,909$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 27c | 1,908$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.67 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…7c0dbacked No | 1c | 1,880$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…d19dbacked No | 2c | 1,860$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 60c | 1,733$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…92bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,718$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,615.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…936fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,663$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 67c | 1,632$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 55c | 1,628$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.37 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…d5e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,613$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +493.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 8c | 1,612$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…05acbacked Yes | 68c | 1,607$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…01f1backed No | 6c | 1,603$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…457bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,602$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.72 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…b17ebacked No | 60c | 1,539$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 71c | 1,509$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.63 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 74c | 1,470$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.