Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc8ded7d5589e68007fde3c7c0af214fe8186749242f53e6000c167cc67561f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 32c | 149,268$47,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,148.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…4e2fbacked Yes | 68c | 71,026$48,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,186.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 69c | 69,429$47,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,661.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 67c | 48,680$32,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,583.94 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…11d4backed Yes | 70c | 35,670$24,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,968.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 33c | 28,934$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,465.55 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes | 68c | 13,235$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 33c | 12,843$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…c94dbacked No | 34c | 10,130$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…559cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 33c | 9,955$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.57 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 67c | 9,118$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 66c | 7,467$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…b035backed Yes | 77c | 6,403$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 34c | 6,381$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.29 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 64c | 5,635$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 35c | 5,489$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.87 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…b656backed Yes | 68c | 4,838$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 65c | 4,476$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.65 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 67c | 3,942$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…97bebacked Yes | 67c | 3,690$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…93babacked Yes | 67c | 3,582$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942f…2028backed Yes | 67c | 3,321$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,318$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 70c | 3,178$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.97 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 32c | 2,963$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.35 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 23c | 2,890$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 2,837$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.63 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…c013backed Yes | 67c | 2,312$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 68c | 2,022$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 62c | 2,001$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 66c | 1,894$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 22c | 1,741$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed No | 52c | 1,729$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,704$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.48 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 61c | 1,700$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.2 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed No | 33c | 1,677$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 71c | 1,662$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Yes | 70c | 1,560$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 67c | 1,558$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…6b28backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked No | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…9222backed Yes | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…708abacked Yes | 66c | 1,303$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 34c | 1,250$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 66c | 1,233$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Yes | 66c | 1,114$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 71c | 1,040$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 36c | 1,015$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9217backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed No | 34c | 999$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.34 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d0b1backed No | 35c | 984.11$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 66c | 983.65$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…45e9backed Yes | 64c | 978.72$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 50c | 876.35$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed Yes | 67c | 874.7$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed No | 35c | 870.35$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Yes | 65c | 820$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 34c | 810$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 13c | 768$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 67c | 763.17$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…9736backed Yes | 66c | 758.38$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa880…d095backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes | 69c | 729.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 66c | 691.78$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.57 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…aad5backed Yes | 70c | 605$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…3c68backed No | 59c | 603.85$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 72c | 600$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…5585backed Yes | 66c | 578.04$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 70c | 555.46$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed Yes | 56c | 552.81$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes | 56c | 539.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 49c | 527$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 75c | 526.48$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 58c | 520.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed No | 34c | 510$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 60c | 510$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 507.52$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.51 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked Yes | 66c | 493.94$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…0507backed Yes | 66c | 489.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…c60cbacked Yes | 49c | 469.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked Yes | 67c | 452.24$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…b18cbacked Yes | 66c | 450.86$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 67c | 450.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?this page
- Will France win the UEFA Nations League?No won
- Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?No won
- Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.