Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35632edf91069a4ff6302f83d8bd871d589077f37bab921ef743278cc085751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 75c | 56,952$42,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,033.28 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…6e32backed Yes | 40c | 46,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,949.98 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…8775backed No | 66c | 8,829$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 78c | 7,145$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,585.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 20c | 6,150$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.62 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 24c | 4,097$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…c072backed Yes | 20c | 3,757$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 66c | 3,233$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…8c9ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 27c | 2,870$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…e6fcbacked No | 65c | 2,781$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…c5cfbacked Yes | 40c | 2,631$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 28c | 2,615$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,558$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.91 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 2,287$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.17 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 66c | 2,178$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 39c | 2,126$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 2,026$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.1 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 34c | 1,931$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.16 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…64f5backed Yes | 54c | 1,843$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,566$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.35 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…9cb3backed Yes | 28c | 1,557$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,472$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…1d8cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Yes | 29c | 1,387$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,349$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +563.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 37c | 1,328$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.84 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 28c | 1,170$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 36c | 1,114$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 68c | 1,111$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…60e9backed Yes | 37c | 1,091$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,050$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.49 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Yes | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 80c | 984$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…5599backed Yes | 24c | 936.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 929.09$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 34c | 888$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.08 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked Yes | 35c | 796.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 64c | 791.63$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 68c | 777$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 66c | 759.07$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Yes | 29c | 750.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…d4c9backed Yes | 38c | 743.48$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 42c | 730$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.3 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 60c | 720.25$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 53c | 717.99$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 39c | 700.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed No | 59c | 675.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 47c | 661.21$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 34c | 650.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 38c | 650$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 46c | 628$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 34c | 610.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 51c | 599.15$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…af0ebacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…9de1backed Yes | 27c | 587.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 25c | 570$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d0b1backed Yes | 35c | 565.33$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 40c | 562.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.31 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…5883backed Yes | 9c | 550$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +326.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked Yes | 32c | 546.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…6444backed Yes | 35c | 546.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Yes | 24c | 541.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3524…eb2abacked Yes | 38c | 526.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 28c | 491$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.97 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 49c | 486$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 35c | 465.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…5c8ebacked Yes | 19c | 461.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +431%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a85cbacked Yes | 50c | 452.42$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 71c | 431.44$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…fcedbacked Yes | 35c | 426.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 37c | 420$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 48c | 414.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…bbc7backed Yes | 49c | 413.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 50c | 402.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 34c | 399.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 40c | 375.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 68c | 364.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…dd75backed Yes | 42c | 360.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked Yes | 33c | 353.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…6621backed Yes | 46c | 343.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed No | 42c | 336.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…44b4backed No | 65c | 328.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 33c | 325$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes | 50c | 317.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…6a41backed Yes | 29c | 308.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Yes | 30c | 296.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…8637backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?this page
- Will France win the UEFA Nations League?No won
- Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?No won
- Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.