Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae1dd89564538fb3ba922e074b88003adfd371eb5f0f2e322b85f59778d607be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,039$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 28c | 2,307$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.3 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 64c | 2,296$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 30c | 2,070$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.04 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 37c | 1,321$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.13 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 61c | 1,150$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 30c | 1,118$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 33c | 879.3$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 39c | 698.34$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 38c | 625.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 60c | 615.35$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 30c | 534.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 62c | 401.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 31c | 368$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805c…0549backed No | 46c | 324.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 54c | 299.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 297$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 72c | 276.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 70c | 272.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 72c | 200.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 70c | 177.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 46c | 174.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 31c | 174.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 64c | 165.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 59c | 159.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…a167backed Yes | 64c | 155.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 39c | 137.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 37c | 125.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +171.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 57c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 29c | 94.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 70c | 92.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 62c | 88.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…5a10backed No | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed No | 46c | 75.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2da…9a23backed Yes | 54c | 75.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed No | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 72c | 71.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…bb09backed No | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 28c | 52.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…c69cbacked Yes | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 68c | 43.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…ee68backed Yes | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…3ac6backed No | 30c | 40.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 30c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…ec85backed Yes | 56c | 37.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 37.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 61c | 36.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…c284backed Yes | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 73c | 33.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632d…69e3backed Yes | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…54ffbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f5…976bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dd…1ef5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…737dbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a3…8c48backed Yes | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…159fbacked Yes | 71c | 23.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…e741backed Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…a196backed Yes | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…6a61backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…61c4backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…30ffbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…f04fbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…f076backed Yes | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Yes | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…5155backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…21fabacked Yes | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…c0f3backed Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…1805backed Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will Juventus win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Wydad AC win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.