Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain beat Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d7c804b66f91d22c8b5979b447f9abccd551930640fa75af6ebc6896ac5aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2661…559cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 49c | 70,962$34,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,279.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 67,079$32,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,378.81 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes | 51c | 58,620$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 49c | 49,782$24,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,307.81 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Yes | 51c | 38,780$19,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,944.81 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 49c | 26,054$12,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,251.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…8e9ebacked Yes | 52c | 20,486$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…75b8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…ff25backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 42c | 13,911$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,106.54 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 49c | 12,539$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,421.4 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 51c | 10,581$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 51c | 10,550$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 1c | 10,094$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…f6c6backed Yes | 51c | 9,770$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 51c | 9,672$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 50c | 9,140$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 55c | 9,083$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.87 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 67c | 7,707$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…3b37backed Yes | 0c | 7,046$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 51c | 6,043$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 24c | 5,455$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.08 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 49c | 5,045$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.63 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…6701backed Yes | 0c | 5,035$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…0bfcbacked Yes | 48c | 4,673$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 3,910$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.23 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…63eebacked Yes | 51c | 3,896$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9217backed Yes | 51c | 3,840$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…9222backed Yes | 62c | 3,780$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 29c | 3,580$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.05 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 3,352$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.92 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…f9dcbacked Yes | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 59c | 3,222$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a85cbacked No | 49c | 3,031$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 15c | 2,903$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 2,868$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.7 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 55c | 2,762$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 52c | 2,595$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 2,541$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.85 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…c2b4backed Yes | 51c | 2,335$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 50c | 2,186$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 2,096$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.56 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 51c | 2,087$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.74 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 50c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…1d8cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,839$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 51c | 1,698$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Yes | 50c | 1,686$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 11c | 1,674$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a9ebbacked Yes | 60c | 1,582$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…0f8abacked Yes | 45c | 1,571$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 62c | 1,553$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.22 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 51c | 1,472$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 51c | 1,291$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,244$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…4a53backed Yes | 51c | 1,215$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 28c | 1,200$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 53c | 1,176$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 49c | 1,173$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…e2cdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,160$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 51c | 1,143$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.83 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…c898backed Yes | 55c | 1,130$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 72c | 1,122$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63c…afbcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,113$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…c649backed Yes | 4c | 1,080$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,066$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…c1a5backed Yes | 51c | 982.55$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 51c | 980.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 37c | 947.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3524…eb2abacked Yes | 52c | 941.17$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 70c | 916.44$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.51 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…3038backed Yes | 35c | 866$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 64c | 805$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…a1febacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 50c | 792.42$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 51c | 751.83$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 27c | 750$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 11c | 744.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 51c | 739.73$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 53c | 735.49$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…467cbacked Yes | 51c | 730.22$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 714.96$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.33 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…c293backed Yes | 52c | 714.08$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 23c | 689.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 683.37$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.88 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 677.23$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.61 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb09…ceffbacked Yes | 54c | 673.93$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…d885backed Yes | 50c | 671.38$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 58c | 660.16$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 49c | 654.47$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.78 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…474ebacked Yes | 53c | 653.4$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 9c | 624.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 41c | 618.84$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 44c | 615.47$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.22 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain beat Portugal?this page
- Will Portugal beat Spain?No won
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.