Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal beat Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf846790307fe470255ec87de7e087d18c4f4ecea5e8df9d0182f914536b3a1b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2661…559cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…ff25backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…75b8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 1c | 10,167$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 9,904$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.67 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…3b37backed Yes | 0c | 7,352$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 24c | 2,750$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3316…69e9backed Yes | 4c | 2,361$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 28c | 2,269$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…c649backed Yes | 1c | 2,055$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 76c | 1,880$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 27c | 1,837$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 16c | 1,452$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 19c | 1,322$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,267$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,245$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…d4d0backed Yes | 18c | 1,079$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 1,047$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,007$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…9b2ebacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…c056backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…dc8fbacked Yes | 25c | 995$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 75c | 975$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…44dcbacked Yes | 25c | 930$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 74c | 925.88$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 24c | 886.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…e254backed Yes | 18c | 847.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 25c | 799.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 18c | 789.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 667.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…53f2backed No | 76c | 660.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 20c | 626.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…1e7dbacked No | 75c | 620$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 74c | 599.97$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 6c | 590$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…427abacked Yes | 25c | 585$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…fff6backed Yes | 27c | 553.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 480.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 75c | 479.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 16c | 471.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16a…5a8bbacked Yes | 25c | 464.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 443$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…4aacbacked Yes | 24c | 438.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…df51backed Yes | 30c | 431.34$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…f79bbacked Yes | 25c | 415$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…07ccbacked Yes | 25c | 415$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…8637backed Yes | 26c | 387.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…f2e7backed No | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 8c | 369.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 368.68$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…0e4fbacked Yes | 9c | 365$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 28c | 356.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 354.4$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 344.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 74c | 342.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed Yes | 25c | 325$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…d66abacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Yes | 11c | 290$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 248.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…fd2dbacked Yes | 17c | 241.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…db03backed Yes | 7c | 217.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 76c | 212.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…07e0backed Yes | 24c | 208.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 76c | 208$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…ae0fbacked Yes | 25c | 203.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 76c | 203.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…c354backed Yes | 25c | 201.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…3fa4backed Yes | 10c | 201.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…c285backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 26c | 189.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…c763backed Yes | 26c | 188.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 73c | 182.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…6e29backed Yes | 25c | 178.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 171.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 12c | 171.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 77c | 170$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c864backed Yes | 16c | 160.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…80c3backed Yes | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…e3b2backed Yes | 23c | 152.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…a928backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…5883backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +326.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 141.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcab…d73bbacked Yes | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…ea71backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…447bbacked Yes | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…efaabacked Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 15c | 116.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…2619backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…4344backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 27c | 110.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e0c4backed Yes | 26c | 108.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…e260backed Yes | 14c | 106.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal beat Spain?this page
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Spain beat Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.