Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3cdc0c7bbfa38f3e24b7c424a185e8db0aa0f915b3f7443c6f455410337853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 73c | 15,390$11,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,283.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 27c | 10,225$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…8e9ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,945$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,312$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.36 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 66c | 3,036$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.18 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 73c | 2,945$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9217backed Yes | 27c | 2,750$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 73c | 2,341$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 24c | 1,989$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed No | 75c | 1,081$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.38 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 26c | 879.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 21c | 866.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 35c | 860.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…2966backed Yes | 55c | 684.12$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…e7e3backed Yes | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…5f1dbacked Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 48c | 407.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 74c | 358$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 31c | 337$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Yes | 22c | 281.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…e70bbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 74c | 231.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 220.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…d535backed Yes | 27c | 189.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3f93backed Yes | 27c | 187.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 155.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 26c | 152.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 75c | 125.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…5dd0backed No | 74c | 119.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked No | 69c | 86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 26c | 84.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…eb93backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…ed62backed No | 75c | 70.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…8fbabacked Yes | 23c | 66.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…3910backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…6412backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…af59backed Yes | 57c | 33.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…9e76backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…e260backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…13f9backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…ffa3backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…9b72backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?this page
- Will Portugal beat Spain?No won
- Will Spain beat Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.