Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ab93295089eda1018f672594eb6d7e22f5d1178459f776ec3bbf2f8129cdca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 50c | 4,707$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.72 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 62c | 860.83$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3769backed Yes | 40c | 764.63$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 52c | 721.03$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.57 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 59c | 601.2$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 558.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 42c | 555$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 50c | 369.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…43b4backed No | 40c | 362.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 38c | 334$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked No | 42c | 302.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…5e66backed No | 52c | 272.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…5ababacked No | 46c | 265$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed No | 40c | 250.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…c59abacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 49c | 244.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 54c | 218.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…e40cbacked No | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed No | 40c | 215$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 51c | 191.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 54c | 186.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 40c | 174.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 47c | 172.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 51c | 168.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 55c | 149.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…3dbabacked No | 48c | 146.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…eb56backed No | 40c | 140.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed No | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 39c | 108.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 53c | 103.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 43c | 100.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…7065backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…f704backed No | 49c | 95.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…7c21backed No | 43c | 91.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 44c | 84.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…9c20backed Yes | 55c | 72.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 44c | 70.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…496fbacked No | 40c | 50.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…2bfabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…d65abacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…5906backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…0b2abacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked No | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…024dbacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0a…c0debacked No | 40c | 42.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…c8a6backed Yes | 59c | 41.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…65a0backed No | 50c | 40.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed No | 45c | 37.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…594abacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea4…15dbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 40c | 32.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 39c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…f3c1backed No | 45c | 30.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…eec9backed No | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…2d86backed No | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…034bbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…5794backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…7b3abacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…4d9ebacked Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…92c6backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…118abacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…d27fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…05a1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…2670backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…dddcbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c623backed Yes | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?this page
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Laggard" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.