Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97324e9989f37911e84ed3ff9b9a09f07d7635f7c85d3ce05c70591bf91f05d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed No | 67c | 6,984$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…3344backed Yes | 65c | 2,269$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 25c | 2,150$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.59 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…88edbacked No | 15c | 2,132$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,554$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.47 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164b…fe83backed No | 1c | 1,449$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 29c | 1,275$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 66c | 1,239$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 2c | 1,030$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3769backed Yes | 30c | 965.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 19c | 709.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 7c | 652.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 32c | 605.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 51c | 585.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.31 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…6a01backed Yes | 71c | 553.77$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 48c | 522.93$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a47…88f2backed No | 65c | 507.58$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…1f56backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 49c | 441.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 23c | 435.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 20c | 424.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.39 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…abd9backed No | 79c | 418.52$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529b…fc0dbacked No | 75c | 333.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…981abacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 286.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 24c | 278.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…e40cbacked No | 77c | 260$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 35c | 250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 26c | 226.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 27c | 222.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 186.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 77c | 184.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 47c | 165.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 72c | 138.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 76c | 123.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…07c5backed No | 67c | 111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…0b2abacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked No | 74c | 96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 30c | 95.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…edd0backed Yes | 35c | 85.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 30c | 84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 52c | 81.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…98bebacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…7fd1backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…8edcbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3931…57cebacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…9c60backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…c45ebacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…1832backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…dbbcbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 27c | 76.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…1f85backed No | 46c | 64.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b58ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 64c | 60.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…261cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…7065backed No | 72c | 54.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4c…1254backed Yes | 26c | 53.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed No | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…63a2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked No | 79c | 40.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 40c | 31.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…1e4cbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…a3efbacked No | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4481…6ec6backed Yes | 57c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…714ebacked No | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…f84dbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Laggard" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.