TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc975…2c68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 60 out of 100; worst Boxing at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.43
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.08
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$49.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Marsborne (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group Cbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.87
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+389.9%+$398.17
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+100%+$648.86
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs KRÜ Esports (BO3)backed Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Venom (BO3)backed Venom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$41.25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$74.31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$166.07
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,525
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$321.64
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$167.65
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.67
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159.01
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$276
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$48.4
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+215.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+279.1%+$589
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$929.99
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$54
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+241.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$167.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Walmart say "SNAP" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+25.8%+$82
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$245.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+155.8%+$18.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moldova participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$146.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.