CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb2ca233583821bb5fc1a5c3a0644421a1182caf85a855722da3ffd1327d3f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 55c | 4,401$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.4 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 4,296$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.01 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,168$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.55 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 3,894$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.23 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 34c | 3,635$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.71 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Team Falcons | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ | 63c | 2,913$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 2,550$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.37 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,532$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.56 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,195$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.42 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,967$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.68 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,604$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 1,569$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,471$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,401$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.8 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,231$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.69 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,175$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.31 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,143$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.04 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,044$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.65 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked MOUZ | 65c | 878.46$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.46 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 68c | 824.11$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked MOUZ | 74c | 815.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…913ebacked MOUZ | 71c | 774.8$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 43c | 758.77$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 746.87$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.49 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed MOUZ | 50c | 730.22$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed MOUZ | 52c | 629.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed MOUZ | 41c | 508.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…3382backed MOUZ | 59c | 507.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 499.57$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed MOUZ | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Team Falcons | 29c | 457.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Team Falcons | 38c | 388.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 365.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed MOUZ | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…fbe8backed MOUZ | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 358.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Team Falcons | 30c | 322.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 51c | 303$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 299.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 50c | 282.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…301abacked MOUZ | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…2c0bbacked MOUZ | 65c | 233.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…c9d0backed MOUZ | 48c | 218.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Team Falcons | 34c | 217.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed MOUZ | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 197.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Falcons | 16c | 196.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 40c | 190.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed MOUZ | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 183$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 175.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 48c | 170.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…4918backed MOUZ | 47c | 168.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 48c | 159.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Team Falcons | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed MOUZ | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed MOUZ | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Team Falcons | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Team Falcons | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed Team Falcons | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Falcons | 38c | 130.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d83fbacked MOUZ | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked MOUZ | 51c | 123.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 117.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed MOUZ | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ | 56c | 114.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 113.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Team Falcons | 59c | 109.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…cbb1backed Team Falcons | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 104.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…ff4ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 104.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…b013backed Team Falcons | 45c | 103.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed MOUZ | 59c | 102.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…6f8dbacked MOUZ | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Team Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Falcons | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked MOUZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Team Falcons | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed MOUZ | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…00edbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 99.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 99.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked MOUZ | 52c | 95.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed MOUZ | 65c | 87.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked MOUZ | 55c | 76.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Team Falcons | 74c | 72.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed MOUZ | 57c | 70.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…c88dbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 69.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Team Falcons | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 629 | 38.3%241 W · 388 L | -17.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed MOUZ | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Falcons | 55c | 63.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.