TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Team Falcons, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54b0…b4f4backed Team Falcons0c142,378$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Team Falcons62c32,913$20,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,414.1721051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ38c27,632$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,131.5823839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ37c23,187$8,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,551.7981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed MOUZ67c15,786$10,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.6812648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons63c13,650$8,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,579.276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed Team Falcons63c7,165$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,513.953253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked MOUZ40c6,463$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.3559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Team Falcons57c5,874$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.239337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed Team Falcons61c4,685$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.92339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ20c4,400$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.871,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons58c4,381$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.762,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa340…409bbacked MOUZ15c4,063$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.032152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons51c3,338$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.981,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ59c3,038$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.438758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Team Falcons63c3,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88044648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed MOUZ40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9822142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ23c2,830$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.7122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons63c2,823$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.2621055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons50c2,809$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.511,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons56c2,683$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.2417249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons75c2,498$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.181,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Falcons43c2,209$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.344544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons43c2,123$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.463,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed MOUZ38c1,779$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.0613937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed MOUZ61c1,654$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked MOUZ39c1,500$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0981…913ebacked Team Falcons65c1,186$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.152965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…c4d7backed Team Falcons1c1,156$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons76c1,096$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.262,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons79c1,034$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.3238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed MOUZ34c1,030$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.87955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons80c1,005$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Team Falcons72c1,000$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71513657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked Team Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+373.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x888a…ef47backed Team Falcons63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1e…f6a4backed MOUZ71c921.15$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.32937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons60c910$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54625555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…4210backed Team Falcons62c819.35$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ee94backed Team Falcons2c815.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked MOUZ58c810.34$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3418049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed MOUZ39c803.38$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.763647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MOUZ19c756.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.1655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Falcons69c752.44$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8222554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed MOUZ58c722.62$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8311166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ19c719.7$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.321,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed MOUZ21c635.45$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9426451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.222550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0716…5ff1backed MOUZ74c596.68$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.061776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons55c558.69$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ45c556.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0810244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked MOUZ36c536.74$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6421042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed MOUZ18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.035543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…d83fbacked MOUZ34c460.77$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.08560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked MOUZ27c460.56$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.626836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons63c450$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4b…4554backed MOUZ10c444.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.742030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Team Falcons79c431.82$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7626251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked MOUZ70c429.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.434944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Team Falcons61c424.99$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2410538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Team Falcons34c406.91$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0527348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Team Falcons16c402.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.48185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ50c395$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…301abacked Team Falcons62c394.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ77c388.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.076755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Team Falcons56c386.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4613043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked Team Falcons44c362.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked MOUZ54c351.94$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.563574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Team Falcons62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2178862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Team Falcons60c338.59$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.156640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Team Falcons60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ23c333.1$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1959647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Team Falcons61c333$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1315743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Team Falcons59c329.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8511037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed MOUZ63c324.2$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1413540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Team Falcons60c316.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19031452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Falcons23c313.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fef…b2b5backed MOUZ34c311.42$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.625450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons35c298.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Team Falcons79c278.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ33c273.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.911,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54c8…0267backed Team Falcons63c271.43$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17111342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked MOUZ29c271.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.197254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec24…9544backed MOUZ38c265.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.351752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Team Falcons76c263.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…0d44backed MOUZ69c261.42$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0414056.4%79 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Team Falcons63c258.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.62540%10 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4500…4dc4backed MOUZ38c256.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ62c255.45$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0742057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4533949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed MOUZ40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.997839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37a…5207backed MOUZ20c249.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e00…9c78backed MOUZ74c242.82$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4de4…cd16backed MOUZ35c229$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff69…dbd2backed MOUZ58c228.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ac…7935backed MOUZ15c205.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+71.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Team Falcons63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12622556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5cd…ced6backed Team Falcons25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.