TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Team Falcons, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,504,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,881,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ44c351,829$154,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197,300.3739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Team Falcons48c237,231$114,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,918.47943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Team Falcons56c112,744$63,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,136.6241649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b0…b4f4backed Team Falcons0c75,399$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Team Falcons38c66,457$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ63c57,000$35,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,09021655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ44c49,961$21,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,978.316160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ62c37,222$23,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,144.3683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ47c29,909$13,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,956.0723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Team Falcons57c26,342$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ63c25,010$15,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,355.381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons46c24,288$11,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,288.731,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ51c17,526$8,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,547.663,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Team Falcons55c17,424$9,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,553.1972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ43c15,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,499.8767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Team Falcons56c14,396$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,061.7121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ56c12,298$6,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Team Falcons53c10,763$5,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676.774955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed MOUZ63c8,005$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.6612653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,04035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Team Falcons51c7,389$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ63c6,544$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.2832552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ72c6,536$4,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.331,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ62c6,452$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.7613952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons44c5,878$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.1947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons40c5,745$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.298758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons44c5,721$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Team Falcons50c5,500$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7504650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Team Falcons56c5,297$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Falcons57c5,088$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9009234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Team Falcons56c5,050$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.9915441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Team Falcons55c5,000$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.866555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ55c4,864$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.231,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ45c4,578$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.0946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons39c4,539$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.8861837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ54c4,515$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.841,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ45c4,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed MOUZ61c4,500$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons56c4,117$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.3815050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons40c3,569$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.232,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ44c3,484$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.626432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Team Falcons17c3,262$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.142520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons38c3,250$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.9953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Team Falcons56c3,010$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.531752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons55c3,003$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.7197040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8807…1185backed Team Falcons38c3,002$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ62c2,976$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.534544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked MOUZ55c2,857$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.3859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Team Falcons38c2,842$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.014257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ63c2,784$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.222,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ45c2,717$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.821,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked MOUZ39c2,653$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.065341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked MOUZ44c2,619$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.5911241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacad…ee84backed Team Falcons45c2,510$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ42c2,434$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.9284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Team Falcons54c2,421$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.999548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed MOUZ45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3207537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Team Falcons47c2,374$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.954434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked MOUZ79c2,320$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5f2cbacked MOUZ70c2,220$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9226…ad48backed Team Falcons56c2,070$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06af…11cbbacked Team Falcons47c2,066$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ58c2,029$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.641,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed MOUZ63c1,989$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.233647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Falcons45c1,951$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.2846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Team Falcons32c1,787$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57219834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed MOUZ44c1,786$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.363636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked Team Falcons57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked MOUZ58c1,722$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.815261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Team Falcons48c1,532$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.8228344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ50c1,521$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5328453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ51c1,517$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.2842142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Team Falcons38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Team Falcons56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9949…83a4backed MOUZ69c1,486$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Team Falcons38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed MOUZ69c1,290$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons40c1,290$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9318254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Team Falcons41c1,270$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.766034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67210538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons56c1,177$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8513850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3610244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed MOUZ68c1,104$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Team Falcons22c1,100$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.99185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ48c1,047$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5125555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Team Falcons49c1,031$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.016544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3295…8975backed Team Falcons56c1,030$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons46c1,022$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.012,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebee…b373backed Team Falcons35c1,011$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Team Falcons56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5606046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ45c1,000$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55150833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed MOUZ45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Team Falcons37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Team Falcons52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Team Falcons51c960$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6314239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.