TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x595b…c9d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$42.92
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$147.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300.02
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$36.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$322.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$132.24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$251.09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$106.69
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$83.25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+54.8%+$45.47
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+36.6%+$95.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$44.79
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$105
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$111.34
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+141.6%+$353.08
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.5%+$292.73
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$104
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.