TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked G21c38,301$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.01812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked G226c30,423$7,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,854.843,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere43c16,170$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,169.6812649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked G218c15,864$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked G212c13,219$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.1159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Natus Vincere48c9,680$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.593246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c6…17c0backed G26c7,835$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked G252c5,600$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.9412038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed G252c5,064$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.8337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed G28c4,550$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3557322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9619…f503backed G252c4,197$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere33c4,037$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.053,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere41c3,379$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.931,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G215c3,301$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.161,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked G24c3,201$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.12464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G245c3,100$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.711,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed G266c3,034$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked G259c2,701$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.61,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked G252c2,521$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere38c2,447$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.952,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Natus Vincere76c2,422$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.213065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked G234c2,335$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.0410251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere49c2,314$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.587146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed G250c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.9910335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere27c1,897$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.664,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed G231c1,858$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8122554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere32c1,850$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.461,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere36c1,801$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.546,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a3…fc48backed G25c1,800$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed G222c1,576$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed G219c1,545$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.826648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked G255c1,467$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.594143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere58c1,455$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.8746345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed G243c1,439$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.892,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Natus Vincere48c1,433$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5112742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G271c1,409$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed G253c1,400$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.2531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaf…02e6backed G265c1,343$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8731154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed G260c1,286$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.1512752.8%67 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked G252c1,226$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.7235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G251c1,217$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed G248c1,120$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5372763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked G22c1,050$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked G246c1,048$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Natus Vincere48c1,036$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.499353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere50c1,007$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.3114532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G249c1,001$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe913…d360backed Natus Vincere50c999.28$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.852035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed G255c907.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0911643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G237c884.38$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed G255c843.45$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.9327950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed G262c830.98$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.219340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Natus Vincere48c800.11$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.766829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed G254c790$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.2721055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed G241c785.53$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3717548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked G262c782.35$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2311443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Natus Vincere29c752.25$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.054643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed G232c720$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.823057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed G260c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42058961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed G275c666.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Natus Vincere31c663.29$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.778158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere33c606.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.3613540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere24c599.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked G255c542.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked G264c524.37$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7619355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed G263c510.74$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed Natus Vincere50c501.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.14924.5%12 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed G270c500$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3612538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edd…d943backed Natus Vincere54c500$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Natus Vincere50c480.86$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8654732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed G270c470.76$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Natus Vincere43c464.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0618049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed G268c462.97$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.031,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere38c455.22$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere41c455.04$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.181,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G253c444$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Natus Vincere80c430.91$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.217061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595b…c9d0backed G276c426.08$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.223857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere48c413.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6965662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Natus Vincere34c400$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26535344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed G242c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4350846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G251c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Natus Vincere55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere43c377.45$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.824,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Natus Vincere32c362.82$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.263250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Natus Vincere77c357.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.447060%42 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed G227c355$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8338835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed G273c344.66$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked G255c339.93$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7613657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked G259c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed G276c333$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.089260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G254c320$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere77c318$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G221c314.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.757,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked G252c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked G252c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17778348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.