CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f89323f267b66d0e12708fe875e202fc4e9071a647ea984d63c1ea51b9469d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3402…9446backed Over | 51c | 2,091$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.77 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,798$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 57c | 1,493$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.05 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.68 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 49c | 923.02$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.93 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 41c | 827.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.74 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 680$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 671.69$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 50c | 666$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.23 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Over | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 58c | 538$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 74c | 497.9$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 366.94$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Over | 51c | 323.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 51c | 307.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 53c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 299.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 51c | 197.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 48c | 146.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Under | 58c | 141.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…16e7backed Over | 54c | 139.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 105.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 18c | 100.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…a1c0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 56c | 89.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 51c | 80.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 58c | 79.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 51c | 55.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 53.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 52c | 52.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 40c | 50.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…1059backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Over | 51c | 38.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…715cbacked Over | 50c | 32.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…12ecbacked Under | 58c | 30.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Over | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…9e96backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…2f6ebacked Over | 52c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 49c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 53c | 25.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…1f89backed Over | 52c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Under | 42c | 23.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…10c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed Over | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.