TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62e2…1f89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10067%67 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$43.78
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$8.3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$6.98
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$17.66
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$12.92
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$18.38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$18.32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$24.42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.96
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$50.48
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$42.89
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+32%+$18.86
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$20.52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$19.55
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.65
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.61
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$19.53
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.99
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.23
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$25.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$72.89
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$21.69
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$16.49
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$9.44
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+70.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98%+$49.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$21.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$44.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.