TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,212 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pelicans44c29,473$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,572.7711457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers56c24,653$13,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,873.881,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers56c22,671$12,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,695.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers51c13,176$6,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,660.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans48c12,284$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,333.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers52c10,767$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Pelicans44c9,257$4,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,183.923943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.971,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1163…a377backed Pelicans44c5,883$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.584100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans44c5,287$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans45c4,774$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.4370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00c…0f71backed Clippers48c4,244$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…ce19backed Clippers49c3,922$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.7840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6672…63b1backed Pelicans51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers49c2,801$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Pelicans44c2,613$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.5119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans43c2,125$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans53c2,070$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.781,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Pelicans51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9819346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pelicans52c1,957$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.4611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans49c1,845$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers49c1,739$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers50c1,274$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.8382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pelicans50c1,217$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.6938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans43c1,090$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.512,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Clippers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pelicans51c971.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.5850954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Pelicans52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5418842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans49c785.62$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers55c773.73$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.713,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers57c615$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.551,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Clippers49c615$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Clippers49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29432347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pelicans55c531.61$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7142153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans43c474.37$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans44c366.36$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans49c323.34$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.521,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb0…40fbbacked Clippers43c233.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc2…89a0backed Pelicans43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Clippers57c217.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers49c216$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf275…2536backed Clippers49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Pelicans52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Clippers51c189.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.183056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans46c188.42$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.693,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d30…ecf7backed Clippers48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3508…39b5backed Pelicans44c186.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.361040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Pelicans54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab1…1f96backed Clippers49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans47c159.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.311,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ba…3502backed Clippers48c159$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c4…2e42backed Clippers49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans52c148.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Clippers80c147.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.614163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans44c145.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.322,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2a…9657backed Clippers58c138.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pelicans29c131.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.211,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans48c130$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.45,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Pelicans55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2721743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Clippers58c123$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3413950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Clippers51c118.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.779845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Clippers52c117.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.629645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Clippers54c107.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.510144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans50c100.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pelicans48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Clippers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pelicans52c95.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.931,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Clippers54c93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Clippers39c91.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0421349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clippers47c89.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…7677backed Pelicans52c80.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Clippers49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.220352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Clippers57c79.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5120847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d4…6b5dbacked Pelicans52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pelicans43c68.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.111,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…dfc4backed Pelicans52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ad…12a5backed Pelicans52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans55c61.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8250648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers48c60.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d87fbacked Pelicans52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…247dbacked Pelicans52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bd…adccbacked Pelicans52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Pelicans43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1435849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Pelicans43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1411851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Pelicans52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8418543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddaf…abbbbacked Pelicans52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6c…556fbacked Pelicans52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Pelicans52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9216150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Clippers57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad4…1be5backed Pelicans52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Pelicans52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0816947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d8…362cbacked Pelicans52c46.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ca…0022backed Clippers50c46.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.352166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Clippers58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd955…49c0backed Pelicans52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ee…99a6backed Pelicans52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.