TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,514 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c6,015$3,067 inLost-$3,067.291,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c2,975$1,407 inWon+$1,568.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over55c2,970$1,633 inLost-$1,633.511335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c2,595$1,326 inWon+$1,268.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under19c2,200$418 inWon+$1,7821,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c1,114$598 inLost-$598.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,002$491 inWon+$511.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon+$5401,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c1,000$190 inWon+$81052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c483.37$267 inLost-$267.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c434.78$200 inWon+$234.7887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c339.56$167 inWon+$172.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c312.53$141 inWon+$171.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c298.67$152 inLost-$152.321,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c282.35$138 inWon+$14455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c161.75$79 inWon+$82.4960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over55c150.15$83 inLost-$82.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over55c147.8$81 inLost-$81.2958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c126.99$62 inWon+$64.762,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under49c123.82$60 inWon+$63.351,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon+$58.71,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c108.06$53 inWon+$55.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.384233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under46c100$46 inWon+$54.510144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under48c64.43$31 inWon+$33.4620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c64.08$31 inWon+$33.5564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under30c62.28$19 inWon+$43.421,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f9…6d23backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Under47c52.66$25 inWon+$27.914763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Under51c50$26 inWon+$24.55042%21 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under47c39.49$19 inWon+$20.745540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under46c30$14 inWon+$16.290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under40c29.71$12 inWon+$17.8310028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under52c21.2$11 inWon+$10.1852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.