NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348b5b66111d8e2d0668a9211f56a7dd8bc7bfdfd970b6a47a18cb0d1568bcef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 28,134$13,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,340.6 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 14,193$7,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,003.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 48c | 12,139$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 6,137$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 2,308$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 48c | 2,130$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,094$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.1 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 58c | 1,500$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.73 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 76c | 931.24$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.74 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 873.18$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.59 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 50c | 848.54$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 739.09$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 75c | 303.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 50c | 221$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 200.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 196.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 128.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 119.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 48c | 100.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…0562backed Under | 46c | 58.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 58.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 55c | 51.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 51.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Over | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 33.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 29.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Under | 43c | 25.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.