TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,812 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans42c11,747$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,863.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09d…ca50backed Pelicans50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…3f9ebacked Clippers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers54c9,227$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers53c7,353$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.0245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers60c7,270$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,362.2187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans49c6,779$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers55c6,332$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers60c6,189$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.241,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Pelicans47c5,485$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.0511335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Clippers52c3,531$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.072030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Pelicans48c3,530$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans47c3,474$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.221,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans62c3,305$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.662,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Pelicans48c3,107$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.817459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Pelicans42c2,971$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.1637842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans41c2,563$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers53c2,495$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.351,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Clippers61c1,898$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.7810559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans54c1,625$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Clippers55c1,381$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.4717050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers57c1,211$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.813,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans46c1,003$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Clippers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Clippers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Clippers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb096…fd64backed Pelicans40c880$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Pelicans42c728.12$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers62c710.64$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers57c708.99$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.953,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Pelicans41c703$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.775446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans47c643.71$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.161,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans42c637.22$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.592,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Pelicans47c628.94$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.344639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers55c620.9$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Pelicans47c608$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Pelicans47c603.36$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.8626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans43c560$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0845151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers54c515.17$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pelicans39c513$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.931,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans43c511$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans40c509.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9722154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pelicans40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.991,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans43c480$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.61,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Pelicans49c409.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.15354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Pelicans48c363.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Clippers52c325.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans47c316.65$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.771,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Clippers55c315.04$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Clippers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Clippers54c280.91$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.159845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Pelicans48c270.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8323446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans47c244.34$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.82,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Clippers61c230$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.345646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Clippers55c213.07$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3629645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Pelicans46c207.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3821349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9021…0c62backed Pelicans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812546.4%58 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Clippers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pelicans40c188$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Clippers53c187.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pelicans28c172.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.421,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans54c169.41$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.141,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans45c165.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.91,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Clippers61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Clippers12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Pelicans45c149.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4953339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb444…2ca7backed Pelicans48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers53c137.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Clippers53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans44c130.78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.41,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Pelicans47c118.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Clippers56c116$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9611451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Clippers61c115$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pelicans47c113.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Pelicans48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Pelicans48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Pelicans48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pelicans45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6742153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Pelicans45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pelicans41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…270fbacked Clippers22c99.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Pelicans77c99.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8218052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Pelicans41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Clippers53c92.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Clippers16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers52c88.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers60c81.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a9…3c11backed Clippers53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Clippers76c68.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac1…0c17backed Clippers37c68.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers55c67.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Pelicans40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.56550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Clippers56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Clippers61c57.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0734047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Clippers61c57.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0757250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Clippers54c57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b6…0da7backed Clippers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309753.6%52 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Clippers54c55.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans46c55.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.045,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.