TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No63c814.59$513 inWon+$301.41,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc984…195ebacked Yes37c811.08$300 inLost-$3004850%24 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes44c643.18$283 inLost-$28320040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes36c379.92$138 inLost-$137.8393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…94e0backed Yes40c150.77$60 inLost-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No60c146.35$88 inWon+$58.541,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No63c141.02$89 inWon+$52.1897049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No64c124.21$79 inWon+$44.7292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No54c122.1$66 inWon+$55.764,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost-$507041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No67c99.99$67 inWon+$3345657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfab5…aa48backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost-$251030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No65c74.4$48 inWon+$26.0483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost-$309031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes50c50$25 inLost-$2518742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes45c33.34$15 inLost-$1534556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f6…098ebacked Yes52c32.55$17 inLost-$171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c29$15 inWon+$14.51,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes37c28.79$11 inLost-$10.6590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No63c28.79$18 inWon+$10.6589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.