NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9437af2c186305d18b8cd3c9945e58abbb143a764fe7ccc13259227051b12017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 50c | 3,967$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.21 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 3,203$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.44 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,398$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,175$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 7c | 594.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 549$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Under | 50c | 431$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Over | 49c | 351.01$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 316$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 44c | 209.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 190.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…4133backed Under | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 47c | 185.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 180.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 179.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…c146backed Under | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 150.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 52c | 136.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Over | 54c | 117.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 47c | 96.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…5512backed Over | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 51c | 74.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…bfa8backed Over | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…8f91backed Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 51c | 53.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 49c | 45.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…de53backed Over | 53c | 44.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 44.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 44c | 44.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 46c | 43.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 60c | 39.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 38.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…16e6backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 47c | 32.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…b2e2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4086backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…7845backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…7c61backed Under | 52c | 23.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 49c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 44c | 22.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…a408backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…e76bbacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.