NBA · resolved market
Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf969d08f9073c1d460866f0bb5cd66160f6336d5e2d4626ae6e475af3d8eff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…195ebacked Yes | 32c | 938.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 69c | 738.1$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…aa48backed Yes | 35c | 543.72$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 33c | 543.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 47c | 392.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 62c | 281.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…7c7abacked Yes | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Yes | 30c | 198.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 194.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 184$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Yes | 37c | 135.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…0504backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 71c | 99.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked Yes | 53c | 97.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 30c | 90.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…098ebacked Yes | 30c | 76.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Yes | 46c | 75.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…8a48backed Yes | 32c | 57.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…6a87backed Yes | 47c | 51.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 54c | 46.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 51c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 67c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 69c | 29.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 49c | 29.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 69c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 66c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.