TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,356 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c6,805$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e1…add2backed Over52c4,600$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Over49c4,227$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8de…8f47backed Over52c4,011$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b90…be58backed Over52c3,899$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over50c3,048$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.121,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadef…175bbacked Under48c2,238$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c8…2ea3backed Under48c2,099$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d00…6fe7backed Under48c2,066$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727f…3220backed Under48c2,022$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8a…bab4backed Over52c2,005$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…2a5ebacked Under48c1,744$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…e8d5backed Under48c1,727$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…021ebacked Under48c1,515$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3613544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a95…1687backed Under48c1,104$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c934.97$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4778041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under44c863.64$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.642231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c857.96$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Under47c837.28$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.764639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c833.9$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under30c833.78$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c824.47$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over5c800$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4130224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c743$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over42c717.8$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Over2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c571.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c522.79$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.581,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c478.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c476.01$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over50c459.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0116338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over70c423$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.126336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23642845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under43c325.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5852146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over70c308.57$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over57c274.28$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c261.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5643447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ca…0022backed Under54c216.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.632166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a50…af42backed Over47c179$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c177.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c176$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.285,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c170.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Under44c168.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.54763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over58c150.15$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.091,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under15c141.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.015152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over64c141.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fc…c680backed Under47c137$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5585…9bb5backed Under48c136$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under8c130$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over60c128.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.751,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under62c126.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1327463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under47c120.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3310144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over52c116.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c114$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over56c109.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.127843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under26c103.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.688937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c100.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.191,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5253339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.938148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c83.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over72c82.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…0175backed Under55c76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under49c75.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c74.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under23c72.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.721,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c68.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.342,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over45c66.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Under47c64.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under47c64.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over70c62.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over54c62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x503e…b3e3backed Under55c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd72a…2029backed Over52c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8231955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over47c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2620140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under54c55.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5310947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over26c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over26c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.555416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2f…1bffbacked Over26c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf91…ce67backed Over53c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b72…91dfbacked Over51c47.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244035%14 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c46.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under44c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Over26c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.063129%9 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4413447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b02…04aabacked Under55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…9b05backed Over45c40.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.