NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47be87cf61c0aeb5ad6cfb14b583d3b66157f9396b8f0b981412e9a4c12c9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,898 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,660 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 15,990$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,220.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 49c | 8,571$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 54c | 6,900$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.79 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 6,383$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 5,443$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 4,272$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.9 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,791$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.35 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 17c | 1,779$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 1,628$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,506$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 1,056$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 51c | 950$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 885.58$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 782.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 688.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 59c | 668$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.12 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 8c | 600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 51c | 586.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 47c | 566$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145e…bb39backed Over | 78c | 552.55$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 47c | 461.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Under | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 361.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Under | 42c | 343.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 324.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 32c | 270.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 205.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 35c | 154.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 51c | 150.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 29c | 148.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 36c | 138.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Under | 22c | 120.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 114.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 106.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 57c | 104.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 82.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 68c | 81.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 68.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 48c | 57.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 53.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…0c17backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 60c | 29.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 49c | 28.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…7b2bbacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 53c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…0562backed Over | 70c | 23.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.