TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa2c2…ad6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.01
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.54
Maryland Terrapins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)backed Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+119%+$161.6
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.92
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$81.11
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39.77
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$87.74
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$41.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$93.5
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$34.76
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.9
Spread: Hornets (-18.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.4
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.95
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.91
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.96
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.34
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.5
Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$74.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.