Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3ddd193da49d94a9d131d3161a74995d33c1bf4c84c665f72fa39b6a6bbf3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof OG, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,977 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 65c | 22,973$14,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.02 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 58c | 21,607$12,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,517.42 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 46c | 18,137$8,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.93 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 33c | 14,749$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.22 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed OG | 3c | 8,717$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 7,482$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.43 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 34c | 5,548$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.52 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 65c | 5,451$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Spirit | 59c | 4,300$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 41c | 3,376$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.04 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 2,824$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.46 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 33c | 2,102$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked OG | 37c | 2,039$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,993$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,951$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.28 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed OG | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,773$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.66 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,575$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.41 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed OG | 29c | 1,447$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,299$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.25 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 46c | 1,293$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,268$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,252$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.2 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,202$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.58 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 36c | 1,168$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.21 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 56c | 992.76$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.65 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 962.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.16 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed OG | 16c | 949.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 919.51$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.42 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 868.91$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Team Spirit | 53c | 827.66$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 51c | 823.78$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.82 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 73c | 807.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed OG | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed OG | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 770.29$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 62c | 750.08$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.08 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed OG | 45c | 672.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Team Spirit | 70c | 658.35$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 638.48$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.6 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked OG | 57c | 634.63$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.56 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Spirit | 48c | 620.19$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed OG | 21c | 607.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 576.18$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 50c | 558.86$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked OG | 57c | 526.12$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.02 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 472.66$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked OG | 35c | 469.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed OG | 57c | 453.76$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked OG | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed OG | 57c | 403.79$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked OG | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…831cbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 396.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Team Spirit | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 356.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 354.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Spirit | 39c | 323.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 319.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked OG | 19c | 317.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed OG | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Team Spirit | 50c | 276.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Team Spirit | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Spirit | 44c | 267$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed OG | 19c | 225.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Spirit | 46c | 223$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed OG | 46c | 222.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked OG | 57c | 219.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed OG | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Team Spirit | 74c | 202.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed OG | 50c | 201.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed OG | 15c | 199.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 31c | 199.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed OG | 46c | 197.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 179.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 56c | 169.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 57c | 167.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Spirit | 61c | 164.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed OG | 34c | 163.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Team Spirit | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed Team Spirit | 56c | 158.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked OG | 16c | 155.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed OG | 57c | 153.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Team Spirit | 46c | 150.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 67c | 149.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed OG | 57c | 149.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed OG | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 141.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed OG | 56c | 141.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 140.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 68c | 140.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.