Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899d3aeab0bee74fe5e2f9816b39773b3923b7c352eb4ed0648b72420f5ba889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof OG, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 56,960$34,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,554.43 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed OG | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 62c | 19,381$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,380.65 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 35c | 9,202$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.29 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed OG | 38c | 7,846$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.71 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed OG | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.02 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 34c | 5,000$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.47 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked OG | 23c | 4,661$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.08 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 32c | 4,597$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 40c | 4,243$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.96 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 4,222$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.4 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 37c | 3,964$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,555$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.05 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.58 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed OG | 38c | 2,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked OG | 31c | 2,622$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.16 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 42c | 2,292$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.63 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 37c | 2,132$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.07 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,455$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.09 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed OG | 37c | 1,348$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed OG | 45c | 1,342$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked OG | 25c | 1,275$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,128$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.76 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Team Spirit | 71c | 1,123$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked OG | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed OG | 46c | 1,039$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,009$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.94 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed OG | 23c | 932.3$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 818.23$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.23 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit | 61c | 816.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked OG | 33c | 808.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 70c | 774.51$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 36c | 714.62$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 70c | 708.77$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.14 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed OG | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 642.15$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit | 64c | 618.03$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 570.02$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed OG | 42c | 549.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed OG | 40c | 549$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed OG | 38c | 532.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked OG | 24c | 517.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 39c | 513.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked OG | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed OG | 29c | 500$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed OG | 37c | 499.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 498.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 40c | 484.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed OG | 43c | 403.27$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 67c | 357.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked OG | 44c | 347.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Spirit | 61c | 343.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed OG | 34c | 331.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Spirit | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked OG | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed OG | 41c | 239.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked OG | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed OG | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Spirit | 65c | 190$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 175.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed OG | 42c | 174.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 59c | 159$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Spirit | 65c | 154.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed OG | 34c | 142.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 34c | 136.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed OG | 39c | 128.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Spirit | 64c | 124.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Spirit | 68c | 123.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 122.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed OG | 42c | 114.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Team Spirit | 66c | 107.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Team Spirit | 68c | 107.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Team Spirit | 65c | 104.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed OG | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…f87cbacked OG | 35c | 93.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed OG | 38c | 92.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Team Spirit | 68c | 84.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 53c | 78.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 78.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed OG | 33c | 77.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed Team Spirit | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed OG | 42c | 70.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Team Spirit | 64c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed OG | 44c | 68.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Team Spirit | 69c | 66.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 39c | 65.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked OG | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed OG | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 63.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Team Spirit | 68c | 63.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 62.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed OG | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.