TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,837 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No60c2,941$1,757 inLost-$1,757.4339265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No59c2,690$1,583 inLost-$1,583.0836954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Yes40c1,662$663 inWon+$999.459044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Yes42c1,096$460 inWon+$636.337237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon+$6306147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes41c1,000$410 inWon+$59084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes39c542.59$211 inWon+$331.4117151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No56c509.98$287 inLost-$287.3956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No58c499.99$290 inLost-$29095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b2…f21abacked Yes45c439.62$200 inWon+$239.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes44c398.89$176 inWon+$223.389349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Yes42c306.26$129 inWon+$177.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No61c264.98$161 inLost-$160.8392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No60c261.04$157 inLost-$156.6214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes44c229.77$100 inWon+$129.7714443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes48c228.79$111 inWon+$118.2610244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0c…c1f2backed Yes42c208.56$87 inWon+$121.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe1…1e90backed Yes41c196.74$81 inWon+$115.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Yes45c170$77 inWon+$93.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No59c137$80 inLost-$80.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed No50c124.99$62 inLost-$62.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2fc…1e75backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon+$58.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No55c99.99$55 inLost-$559975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No58c94.5$55 inLost-$54.996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34b…9d48backed Yes42c83.33$35 inWon+$48.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+84.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Yes41c78.38$32 inWon+$46.385042%21 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon+$38.1814953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No60c62.33$37 inLost-$37.2826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed No65c55.27$36 inLost-$35.796051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes38c50.22$19 inWon+$3133049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397c…d433backed Yes42c39.38$17 inWon+$22.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Yes41c35$14 inWon+$20.652326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes42c33.32$14 inWon+$19.3340048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed No66c30.3$20 inLost-$2011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes50c30$15 inWon+$1513831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes44c28.66$13 inWon+$16.058852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…2567backed Yes41c26$11 inWon+$15.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No59c20$12 inLost-$11.813764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b62…5084backed No64c15.63$10 inLost-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.