NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbeb7c12241548bb01532b606b00104970adc9ce597c79db19b755be17c490dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 50c | 57,225$28,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,788.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 47c | 27,022$12,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,224.46 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 50c | 22,653$11,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 16,779$8,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892.9 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Spurs | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 50c | 10,300$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,936$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.39 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 35c | 8,989$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820.43 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Spurs | 33c | 7,202$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.11 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Timberwolves | 67c | 7,124$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.77 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 74c | 6,094$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 5,394$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.38 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,583$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.7 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 32c | 4,429$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Timberwolves | 67c | 4,356$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,667$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.6 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Spurs | 36c | 3,000$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,794$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.73 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,460$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,186$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,961$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,888$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 50c | 1,558$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,528$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.03 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 34c | 1,522$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.26 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 50c | 1,520$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs | 55c | 1,317$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.65 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.65 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs | 67c | 1,176$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.25 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 50c | 1,174$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.31 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,100$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.85 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.16 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs | 50c | 997.34$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.61 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 50c | 994.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 50c | 899.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 50c | 799.54$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Spurs | 34c | 783.91$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.38 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 42c | 737.67$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.64 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Spurs | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 34c | 585.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Timberwolves | 56c | 498.06$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 50c | 408.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.55 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Spurs | 48c | 401.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Timberwolves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 63c | 331.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 67c | 318$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs | 50c | 307.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…7a1fbacked Spurs | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 183 | 37.2%68 W · 115 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 51c | 296.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Timberwolves | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 37c | 281.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Timberwolves | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 33c | 196.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 47c | 188.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…1422backed Timberwolves | 66c | 183.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Timberwolves | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Spurs | 37c | 133.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 33c | 133.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 65c | 118.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 116.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 34c | 110.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Spurs | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Spurs | 72c | 102.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Spurs | 61c | 94.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Timberwolves | 35c | 88.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Spurs | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Spurs | 50c | 78.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 66c | 77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…91abbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…9b09backed Timberwolves | 52c | 76.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 71.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed Timberwolves | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Spurs | 56c | 68.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Spurs | 50c | 62.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +9.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Spurs | 34c | 61.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 58.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Spurs | 51c | 56.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Spurs | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 54.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 34c | 52.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…1db6backed Spurs | 49c | 48.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Timberwolves | 66c | 46.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.