TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26ef…6cedbacked Timberwolves28c4,820$1,350 inLost-$1,349.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves2c2,037$44 inLost-$44.431,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a9…7b35backed Spurs72c1,640$1,181 inWon+$459.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f13…6c78backed Spurs72c1,610$1,159 inWon+$450.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…708ebacked Spurs72c1,570$1,130 inWon+$439.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Spurs75c400$300 inWon+$10014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves26c331.66$86 inLost-$86.530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Timberwolves30c163.33$49 inLost-$494037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Spurs74c113$84 inWon+$29.384062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Spurs76c99.99$76 inWon+$243148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Spurs75c90$68 inWon+$22.53372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves24c81.88$20 inLost-$20.058348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Timberwolves18c79$14 inLost-$14.2222844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Timberwolves26c78.42$20 inLost-$20.3940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves19c75.55$14 inLost-$14.042,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves27c42.74$12 inLost-$11.5464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Spurs74c40.64$30 inWon+$10.6412961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs73c40$29 inWon+$10.837253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs77c29$22 inWon+$6.6733556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Spurs71c25$18 inWon+$7.258654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.