TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c6,165$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.092,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c6,062$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.5869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Over69c5,237$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under45c3,194$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over40c3,179$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c2,614$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.961,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1803,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under48c1,947$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.7511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c1,584$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.3442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over50c1,151$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.7161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over44c1,102$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,061$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.572,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over44c1,022$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.3246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c994$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under62c892.44$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c872.63$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.0852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c869.89$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under57c771$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under59c727.23$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over40c667.89$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under35c667.17$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c581.95$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.341,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under35c560.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Over58c551.12$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.65364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under56c510$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.65829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Over44c502.59$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5914330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Under44c496.7$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.553444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over41c486.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under57c392.44$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.592,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c315.51$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under62c243.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under26c238.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under74c220.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over78c216$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over39c212.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.881,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c204.67$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under47c202.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9518534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc882…4e6bbacked Over41c191.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.732360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+60.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over42c189.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Under58c189.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over55c181.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.967146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under54c173.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c168$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Under33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under45c152.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0422143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under35c133.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under57c115.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6645542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under44c106.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under44c106.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over55c106.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3933556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under61c100.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6190957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c95.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.581,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under22c91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0213036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.918149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over45c87.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0910761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under52c87.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.321046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c81.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Under61c81.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7513759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c80.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over23c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.624936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Over65c78.58$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.583164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under73c77.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Over40c75.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.161942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over62c73.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3717651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under26c73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9811329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.219952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Under62c69.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over57c65.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.973467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over40c64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over40c63.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2524332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Under41c61.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…f36ebacked Under48c57.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.061546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under55c53.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.714237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under55c53.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.26876.5%52 W · 16 L+12.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over41c51.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b92…2241backed Over60c50.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Over36c41.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.973450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over38c41.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.899061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under50c39.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6920247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over41c39.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Over40c37.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.792157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1271…a720backed Over49c37.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Over54c32.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under41c30.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over54c30.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.927062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.113831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.