NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335a4430d92a899e88ee6d0231c19e6a3e02be929fd8a532006eb825a5c856a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 6,165$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 6,062$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.58 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Over | 69c | 5,237$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 45c | 3,194$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.92 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 3,179$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.3 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 2,614$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.96 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 48c | 1,947$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.75 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 1,584$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.34 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 50c | 1,151$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.71 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 44c | 1,102$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.19 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 1,061$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 44c | 1,022$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.32 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 994$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 62c | 892.44$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 872.63$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.08 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 869.89$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.89 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 57c | 771$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 59c | 727.23$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.34 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 667.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 35c | 667.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 581.95$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.34 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 35c | 560.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Over | 58c | 551.12$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 56c | 510$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Over | 44c | 502.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.59 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Under | 44c | 496.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 41c | 486.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.71 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 392.44$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 315.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 62c | 243.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 26c | 238.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 74c | 220.51$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 78c | 216$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 39c | 212.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 204.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…4e6bbacked Over | 41c | 191.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 42c | 189.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 55c | 181.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 173.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 168$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Under | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 45c | 152.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 35c | 133.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 57c | 115.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 44c | 106.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 44c | 106.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 106.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 61c | 100.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 95.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 45c | 87.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 52c | 87.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 81.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Under | 61c | 81.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 80.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Over | 65c | 78.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 73c | 77.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Over | 40c | 75.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 62c | 73.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 62c | 69.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 57c | 65.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 40c | 63.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Under | 41c | 61.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Under | 48c | 57.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Under | 55c | 53.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 55c | 53.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 68 | 76.5%52 W · 16 L | +12.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Over | 60c | 50.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…fe8bbacked Over | 36c | 41.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Over | 38c | 41.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 50c | 39.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 41c | 39.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Over | 40c | 37.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Over | 49c | 37.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Over | 54c | 32.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 41c | 30.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 54c | 30.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.