TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,788 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7c0…dadabacked No39c592.1$229 inLost-$229.0512541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No59c344.3$203 inLost-$202.9839864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes40c298.8$120 inWon+$179.2856050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccb…1b2fbacked Yes64c209.78$133 inWon+$76.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes42c156.94$66 inWon+$91.331,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes80c148.77$119 inWon+$29.835887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf56e…a853backed Yes80c145.87$117 inWon+$29.174393%40 W · 3 L+12.5wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No34c144.86$49 inLost-$49.2542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed No60c133.5$80 inLost-$808043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes42c71.43$30 inWon+$41.4314953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8361…283ebacked Yes42c57$24 inWon+$33.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes44c47.19$21 inWon+$26.3130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No59c42.2$25 inLost-$24.926755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No47c30$14 inLost-$13.9526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Yes41c30$12 inWon+$17.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b09…3be1backed Yes60c23.5$14 inWon+$9.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Yes80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.