NBA · resolved market
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1e368dd68eac12adb3f18af63539dbb729e38ab953958b02e14fff71dcc818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 52c | 1,849$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.78 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 49c | 1,640$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.27 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 48c | 1,054$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.68 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…69b2backed Yes | 52c | 962.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 48c | 916.64$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.65 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 380.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Yes | 54c | 367.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed No | 50c | 345.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 47c | 319.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Yes | 54c | 181.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 49c | 155.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 48c | 115.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…67afbacked Yes | 52c | 109.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 56c | 107.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 46c | 103.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 54c | 92.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 55c | 90.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed No | 51c | 89.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 26c | 87.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 53c | 85.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes | 48c | 83.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…d1cbbacked Yes | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Yes | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed No | 45c | 62.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes | 48c | 52.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 46c | 51.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…8720backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 48c | 41.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 39.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed No | 54c | 39.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 48c | 38.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…5ab4backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…283ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…66c5backed Yes | 48c | 35.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…70fabacked Yes | 58c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…de84backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…8c39backed No | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…4379backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.