NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee7d631788a616a601a192ae9444b17ac0fe72b2c0dfa8d5ff8ff5daf404205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 140,600$65,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,763.22 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Timberwolves | 49c | 62,356$30,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,554.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Spurs | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 53c | 44,009$23,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,752.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 53c | 43,087$22,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250.7 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.96 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 31,057$14,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,907.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 51c | 29,265$15,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,207.27 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Timberwolves | 48c | 28,008$13,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,443.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 24,475$11,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,748 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Spurs | 51c | 21,935$11,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 54c | 20,500$11,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spurs | 53c | 17,407$9,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.52 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 16,552$7,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.85 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…6201backed Timberwolves | 47c | 16,286$7,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,654.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spurs | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 54c | 9,275$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.25 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Spurs | 53c | 8,639$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Timberwolves | 48c | 7,744$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves | 46c | 6,580$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.78 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Spurs | 52c | 5,989$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,500$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,436$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.56 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 5,388$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.24 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,336$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Spurs | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 4,015$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 54c | 3,562$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.92 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,162$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.72 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 54c | 2,837$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.07 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,606$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.75 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,534$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.22 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,480$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.12 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 54c | 2,175$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,004$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Spurs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,931$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Spurs | 54c | 1,843$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Spurs | 55c | 1,764$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 16c | 1,725$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,705$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.17 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Spurs | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.97 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,468$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Spurs | 52c | 1,445$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.53 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Spurs | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Spurs | 51c | 1,300$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,292$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.58 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Spurs | 54c | 1,140$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.44 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,123$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Spurs | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,016$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Spurs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Timberwolves | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 944.79$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 901.53$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 876.21$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Timberwolves | 49c | 869.39$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 54c | 864.33$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.59 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 53c | 793.47$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.93 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 777$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 48c | 735$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Spurs | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Timberwolves | 36c | 666.67$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…1a98backed Timberwolves | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timberwolves | 44c | 618.01$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 54c | 615.05$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 54c | 530.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.06 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spurs | 53c | 522.64$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 72c | 515.07$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 53c | 500.63$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spurs | 51c | 495$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 434.95$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.