NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d39d28173be07ba2bdf799a43401414e56fba072be3d9e025b121c9d240647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 26c | 11,224$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 5,793$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.71 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 64c | 5,579$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.29 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 5,363$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.7 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 3,720$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 3,496$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 32c | 3,005$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.82 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.84 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 1,636$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.28 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 25c | 1,530$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.63 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 36c | 1,320$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 71c | 1,257$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 1,197$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.19 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 1,173$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.03 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 30c | 1,110$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 1,029$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 29c | 1,014$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 996.04$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 30c | 930.33$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 47c | 842.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 780.37$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.28 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 28c | 755.62$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 7c | 690.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 20c | 624.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 43c | 465.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 32c | 452.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 32c | 445.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 64c | 427.65$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Under | 51c | 384.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 24c | 379.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 330.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 63c | 297.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 5c | 286$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 11c | 278.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Under | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under | 73c | 246.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 28c | 241.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 48c | 237.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 30c | 208.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 76c | 184.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 32c | 159.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Over | 34c | 145.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 30c | 144.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Over | 27c | 112.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…740bbacked Over | 35c | 111.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 99.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 91.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 65c | 89.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 46c | 88.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Under | 77c | 83.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 60c | 74.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 69c | 71.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 78c | 59.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 78c | 59.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 58.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Over | 62c | 57.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 34c | 56.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 28c | 56.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 55.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 26c | 54.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 63c | 49.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +11.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 44c | 41.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 47c | 38.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 31c | 36.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 34.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 32c | 33.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 31.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Under | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2f95backed Over | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 67c | 28.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Over | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 76c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.