NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4d8106997e4f8df943aa15009a08f8da2dfe233d95bb106c72681f0623f9ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf65…9194backed Timberwolves | 27c | 8,924$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 42c | 8,149$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.55 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 45c | 7,716$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 73c | 7,627$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 38c | 5,228$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 5,214$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.23 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 57c | 5,177$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.02 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 54c | 4,547$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Spurs | 44c | 4,442$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.6 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,871$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.71 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 46c | 3,714$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.28 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 46c | 3,714$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.28 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,697$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.3 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 3,566$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 45c | 3,268$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.42 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 66c | 2,507$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.18 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,494$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 2,462$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.03 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 69c | 2,422$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 2,020$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 61c | 1,930$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.38 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…492ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,848$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,809$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…00bcbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,074$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 55c | 942.82$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.55 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 836.42$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.66 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 62c | 811.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.03 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…9968backed Timberwolves | 57c | 787.54$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves | 55c | 753.59$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.47 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Spurs | 44c | 611.04$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.18 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 51c | 508.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…a22fbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 501$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Timberwolves | 55c | 469.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Spurs | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Spurs | 43c | 464.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Spurs | 44c | 433.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Timberwolves | 55c | 411.6$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 43c | 404.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 63c | 270$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 270$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Timberwolves | 67c | 268.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 45c | 261.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 43c | 251.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…64f3backed Timberwolves | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Spurs | 51c | 203.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Timberwolves | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 197.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Timberwolves | 54c | 185.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs | 44c | 177.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Spurs | 59c | 167.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 59c | 164.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Timberwolves | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Spurs | 62c | 160.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 65c | 122$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Timberwolves | 24c | 118.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 63c | 114.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 105.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…1b16backed Spurs | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…3d98backed Timberwolves | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…e3e6backed Spurs | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Spurs | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Timberwolves | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Spurs | 47c | 67.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs | 44c | 66.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Timberwolves | 24c | 64.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 77c | 58.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Spurs | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Timberwolves | 29c | 51.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…db97backed Timberwolves | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…f576backed Timberwolves | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 48.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 47.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Timberwolves | 41c | 46.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Spurs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…bf9fbacked Spurs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 43c | 42.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Timberwolves | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Timberwolves | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Timberwolves | 60c | 38.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…3528backed Timberwolves | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 37.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…1ababacked Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Spurs | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Spurs | 54c | 36.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…aaf5backed Timberwolves | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Timberwolves | 47c | 32.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Spurs | 52c | 27.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Spurs | 45c | 27.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 49c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.