NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5169cbcb24891fbf46ce96f45ba8cd7a2ee2905dbd50efc5c8d5cbd7c97c30ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,970,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,984,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,970,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 50c | 433,151$215,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,750.71 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Spurs | 49c | 270,558$133,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,690 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200,623$102,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,569.7 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 199,358$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 49c | 182,714$89,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,656.53 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 109,828$56,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,300.13 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 50c | 94,555$47,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,421.07 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 72,440$36,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,664.5 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Timberwolves | 51c | 52,120$26,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,580.96 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Spurs | 56c | 50,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,799.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Timberwolves | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Spurs | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Spurs | 49c | 46,622$22,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,643.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Timberwolves | 53c | 42,471$22,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,509.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Spurs | 49c | 40,409$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,409.36 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 70c | 37,276$26,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,182.87 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Timberwolves | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs | 47c | 25,376$11,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,449.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 25,000$13,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,060 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 22,664$11,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,713.55 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 48c | 20,403$9,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,609.44 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 50c | 19,999$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.69 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 14,335$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b403backed Timberwolves | 52c | 13,918$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Spurs | 47c | 13,771$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,298.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Timberwolves | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Spurs | 49c | 13,107$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 13,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 12,919$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.68 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 74c | 12,452$9,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.02 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 12,322$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Spurs | 50c | 11,427$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,690.87 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 51c | 10,237$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.86 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Spurs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.3 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 51c | 9,694$4,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.07 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 34c | 9,418$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.15 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs | 48c | 9,400$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.98 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 55c | 9,050$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 50c | 7,756$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.69 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Timberwolves | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spurs | 51c | 6,931$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,874$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.39 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Spurs | 49c | 6,136$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,901$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…c943backed Timberwolves | 53c | 5,832$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,500$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.89 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Spurs | 48c | 4,923$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,744$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.22 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 29c | 4,733$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 66c | 4,569$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.76 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Spurs | 51c | 4,133$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.63 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Spurs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,925$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,740$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 3,323$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves | 32c | 3,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,925$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.22 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,887$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.32 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Spurs | 51c | 2,754$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.56 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,540$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,454$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.92 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Spurs | 50c | 2,438$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,419$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.01 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Spurs | 50c | 2,402$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Spurs | 50c | 2,268$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.75 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 2,205$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.21 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Spurs | 51c | 2,120$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 32c | 2,119$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.14 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.32 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,030$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.3 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 30c | 2,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.